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Sep 4, 2019
A Tale of Two Package Delivery Companies
Shares of both FedEx Corporation (indicated by the orange line above) and United Parcel Service Inc (indicated by the blue line above) have come under a tremendous amount of pressure over the past year as the industry navigates the fallout from the US-China trade war. Both companies are investing heavily to improve their offerings to stay ahead of the game as large tech companies increasingly encroach on the shipping industry’s traditional turf. The S&P 500 index is indicted by the purple line above. Aug 30, 2019
Happy Labor Day! Updated September Newsletter Release Dates
Image Source: Trending Topics 2019. On behalf of the Valuentum team, I wanted to wish you a happy and safe Labor Day weekend. If you are taking the day off, I hope that you enjoy a break from all the hard work you do. If you are not taking the day off, I wanted to let you know that we'll be out of the office this weekend and Monday, September 2. We'll be right back at work on Tuesday, September 3, and you should expect both the Dividend Growth Newsletter and High Yield Dividend Newsletter that day. The Exclusive is scheduled for release Saturday, September 7. Have a great Labor Day Weekend, and we are extremely honored to have you as our clients and members. May you continue to have tremendous success in the years to come! -- Brian Nelson, CFA Aug 30, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending August 30
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Aug 29, 2019
Where Are the Safe Havens?
"We believe that staying diversified as in holding a broad swath of ideas as in either the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio or Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as the equity portion of one’s allocation makes a lot of sense in any environment...High yield dividend investing may become more and more popular in coming years as rates across the globe approach 0%, and the amount of negative-yielding debt proliferates." -- Brian Nelson, CFA Aug 28, 2019
Smucker Cuts Guidance with Weakness Widespread
Image Source: J.M. Smucker Company -- IR Presentation. Smucker’s revenue and earnings both missed estimates for the quarter ended July 31, while management lowered the company’s full year guidance for fiscal 2020. We've taken a close look at our valuation model, but we haven't made any material changes to the fair value estimate. Aug 28, 2019
BP Says Goodbye to Alaska After 60 Years
Image Source: BP IR Presentation. We are supportive of BP’s decision to divest its Alaskan operations as the company has been successfully bringing upstream projects online on-time and on-budget all over the globe over the past few years, driving its net oil & gas production levels higher (upstream output was up 4% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2019). BP’s operational execution of late has been nothing less than stellar and the energy giant is included in our simulated High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio. Shares of BP yield 6.7% as of this writing. Aug 27, 2019
Elanco Buys Bayer’s Animal Health Unit, Gaining Scale and Greater Exposure to the “Humanization of Pets” Trend
On August 20, Elanco Animal Health Inc agreed to acquire Bayer AG’s animal health unit for $7.6 billion (at the time the deal was announced) through a cash and stock deal. This is a transformative deal for Elanco and one that will create a real competitor to Zoetis' and Merck’s animal health units. For Bayer, the company can now pivot to segments where it has stronger competitive advantages while also raising cash to cover potential Roundup-related legal liabilities (which could be enormous). We will be monitoring the space going forward but are staying firmly on the sidelines for now. Aug 27, 2019
Altria and Philip Morris to Tie the Knot?
Hitting the wires today is some news that has been rumored in the past, but seems to now be confirmed: Philip Morris and Altria are in merger talks. Aug 26, 2019
The Valuentum Team Talks Powell Speech and Threat of Global Recession
Last week, China issued retaliatory tariffs on US goods, and Trump responded in kind, escalating trade tensions. Caught in the middle of this US-China trade war is the Fed, however. Let’s sit down with the Valuentum team and kick things off with our thoughts on Fed Chairman Powell’s speech, Challenges for Monetary Policy issued August 23 in Jackson Hole, WY. Aug 24, 2019
Not Worried About Cisco
Image Source: Fiscal fourth-quarter 2019 press release.We think the market is overreacting when it comes to Cisco’s outlook. Our fair value estimate remains in the mid-$50s, and Cisco’s Dividend Cushion ratio is still very healthy at ~2.8x.
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Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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