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May 1, 2025
Meta Platforms Posts Excellent First Quarter Results
Image: Meta’s free cash flow remains robust. Looking to the second quarter of 2025, Meta Platforms expects total revenue to be in the range of $42.5-$45.5 billion (consensus was $43.8 billion) and total expenses to be in the range of $113-$118 billion, down from its prior outlook of $114-$119 billion. Full year 2025 capital expenditures, including principal payments on finance leases, are targeted at $64-$72 billion, raised from its prior outlook of $60-$65 billion. Management noted that the updated outlook in part reflects additional data center investments to support artificial intelligence efforts. Though Meta is not a large dividend payer, we think its dividend growth prospects are stellar, and the company is included in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Apr 30, 2025
Enterprise Products Partners DCF Coverage of Its Distribution Remains Solid
Image: Enterprise Products Partners' units have done well of late. In the first quarter of 2025, Enterprise Products Partners repurchased $60 million of its common units, with the partnership having utilized about 60% of its authorized $2 billion buyback program. Adjusted cash flow from operations was $2.1 billion for both the first quarter of 2025 and 2024. Total capital expenditures were $1.1 billion in the first quarter of 2025, consisting of $960 million in growth capital and $102 million in sustaining capital expenditures. Total debt outstanding was $31.9 billion, and Enterprise had total liquidity of $3.6 billion. We continue to like Enterprise’s DCF coverage of the distribution, and the company remains an idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio Apr 30, 2025
Altria Continues to Expect Adjusted Earnings Per Share Expansion
Image: Altria’s shares have recovered nicely since the beginning of 2024. In the first quarter, Altria bought back 5.7 million shares at an average price of $56.97, for a total cost of $326 million. The company still has $674 million remaining under its share repurchase program, which it expects to complete by the end of the year. Altria paid $1.7 billion in dividends in the quarter, and the firm maintained its current outlook. Management continues to expect to deliver a full-year 2025 adjusted diluted earnings per share growth rate of 2%-5% versus 2024. The growth rate represents adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $5.30-$5.45 from a base of $5.19 in 2014. We continue to like Altria as an idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio. Apr 30, 2025
Visa’s Free Cash Flow Generation Remains Phenomenal
Image: Visa continues to translate a high percentage of revenue into free cash flow generation. Visa’s payments volume increased 8% in the fiscal second quarter, while cross border volume increased 13%. Processed transactions increased 9% from the same period a year ago. For the six months ended March 31, net cash provided by operating activities came in at $10.1 billion, up from $8.2 billion over the same period last year. Capital expenditures were $672 million over the six month period, up from $548 million in the year-ago period. Free cash flow for the six months ended March 31 was $9.4 billion, or 49.3% of total revenue. We continue to be fans of Visa’s business model and strong free cash flow generation. Apr 30, 2025
Republic Services Continues to Price Ahead of Inflation
Image: Republic Services’ shares have done quite well the past few years. Republic Services reported net income of $1.58 per diluted share in the first quarter, up from $1.44 per share in last year’s quarter. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $1.27 billion, while its adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 140 basis points from the prior year. The garbage hauler generated cash flow from operations of $1.025 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $727 million. In the quarter, cash returned to shareholders was $226 million, which included $45 million of share repurchases and $181 million of dividends paid. We continue to like Republic Services in the newsletter portfolios. Apr 29, 2025
What Causes Fair Value Estimates to Change?
Image: A screenshot of the discounted cash-flow learning tool for individual investors. So you noticed a fair value estimate changed, and you weren’t sure why? This article is for you. Apr 28, 2025
Alphabet Remains a Top Consideration for Long Term Capital Appreciation
Image Source: TradingView. Alphabet raised its dividend 5%, and spent $2.4 billion on dividends during the three months ended March 31. The Board of Directors also authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $70 billion of its Class A and Class C shares. As of March 31, total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $95.3 billion, while long-term debt totaled $10.9 billion at the end of the quarter. Net cash provided by operating activities was $36.2 billion in the quarter, while the firm spent $17.2 billion in capital expenditures, resulting in free cash flow of ~$19 billion. We continue to like Alphabet as a top consideration in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Apr 28, 2025
Domino’s Pizza Misses First Quarter U.S. Same Store Sales Consensus Estimate
Image Source: Domino's. Excluding foreign currency impacts, Domino’s income from operations increased 1.4% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter. Net cash provided by operating activities was $179.1 million in the quarter with the firm spending $14.7 million in capital expenditures, resulting in free cash flow of $164.4 million in the period, up 59.1% from last year’s quarter. During the first quarter of 2025, Domino’s repurchased 115,280 shares for a total of $50 million. It still has $764.3 million in remaining authorized amount for share repurchases. We continue to like the long-term picture at Domino’s, and the company remains an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Apr 24, 2025
Chipotle’s Comparable Restaurant Sales Fall in First Quarter
Image Source: Valuentum. During the first quarter, Chipotle opened 57 company-owned restaurants with 48 of them including a Chipotlane. Management noted that “Chipotlanes continue to perform well and are helping enhance guest access and convenience, as well as increase new restaurant sales, margins, and returns,” but comparable restaurant sales still faced headwinds due to lower transactions, offset in part by an increase in the average check. For 2025, management anticipates full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the low single digit range and for the firm to add 315-345 new company-owned restaurants with over 80% having a Chipotlane. Though Chipotle’s first quarter results weren’t great, we continue to like its long-term story. Apr 23, 2025
Philip Morris Hits Record High!
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to all of 2025, Philip Morris’ net revenue growth is targeted around 6-8% on an organic basis, with organic operating income growth to be between 10.5%-12.5%. The tobacco giant expects reported diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.01-$7.14, with adjusted diluted earnings per share targeted at $7.36-$7.49 (up 12%-14%) and adjusted diluted earnings per share, excluding currency, expected to be between $7.26-$7.39 (up 10.5%-12.5%). 2025 operating cash flow is targeted to be more than $11 billion at prevailing exchange rates, with capital expenditures of around $1.5 billion, which includes further investments in ZYN capacity in the U.S. We're huge fans of Philip Morris' stock.
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