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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
May 31, 2018
General Motors Pops on SoftBank Deal; Dollar General Drops on Weak Customer Traffic
We continue to believe that General Motors is one of the most attractively priced equity considerations in the market today, on the basis of its dividend yield and price-to-earnings ratio. Though Dollar General’s first-quarter results weren’t up to par, we continue to like the discount retailer. Dollar General may be more resilient than other retailers in the face of e-commerce competition and under a scenario where the economy may head south.
May 30, 2018
Strong Backdrop Driving Homebuilders’ Top Lines But Rising Costs Making Presence Known
Image Source: Montgomery County Planning Commission. Homebuilding stocks have experienced volatility following recent earnings reports from major companies in the industry. The economic backdrop for the group has translated into robust top-line growth, but cost increases have called into question the group’s ability to turn that growth into bottom-line gains, at least for some operators.
May 25, 2018
PPL’s UK Business Provides Drag to Otherwise Strong Earnings
Image Source: Arnoooo. Former simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea PPL Corp turned in strong earnings from ongoing operations growth in the first quarter of 2018 despite its UK segment, its largest business, taking a meaningful step back in the period.
May 23, 2018
Tiffany Rallies 20%+ on 1Q’18 Report; Positive Read-Through for China, High-End Retail Margins
Tiffany’s first-quarter 2018 results were from another planet! Strong increases in comparable store sales almost across the board, blowing by consensus estimates, and the company’s free cash flow outlook has only improved. The read-through is significantly positive for aspirational and luxury players, in our view, and Ralph Lauren’s gross-margin improvement during its quarterly release bodes well for many brands across most of the high-end apparel space. Foreign tourism and high-end consumer spending remain very strong on the basis of Tiffany’s quarterly results, and geopolitical concerns did not impact the breakneck pace of jewelry sales in China or the Korean Peninsula. It’s hard to imagine Tiffany having a better first quarter than it did.
May 23, 2018
Cracker Barrel Raises Dividend; All-in Yield Impressive
Simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea Cracker Barrel reported decent fiscal-third quarter 2018 results and hiked its quarterly payout. The company declared a special dividend in its fiscal third-quarter report, too.
May 21, 2018
Campbell Soup Representative of Weakening Consumer Staples Equities
Image Source: Neil Conway. When our team presented at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017, we warned about the possible coming pressures on consumer staples stocks, and so far, our concerns have come to fruition. Not only have a number of high-profile players in the tobacco and beverage arena soured, but household consumer products and packaged foods players have felt the pain, too. Campbell Soup’s recent fallout has been among the worst. Shares have been halved since mid-2017.
May 17, 2018
Master Limited Partnership Simplifications on the Rise
With the announcement of three separate master limited partnership simplification transactions on May 17 alone, we must revisit our thesis that the business structure may not be in it for the long haul.
May 17, 2018
Has Macy’s Found Its Winning Formula? J.C. Penney Might Be a $0
Shares of Macy’s surged following its fiscal first quarter report May 16 as the department store beat estimates and raised its full-year guidance. That said, we continue to be cautious on the long-term prospects of big box retailers and the department stores, in particular. You won’t see us adding any department store to the simulated newsletter portfolios. J.C. Penney might be a $0 during the next downturn, whenever that comes.
May 17, 2018
Home Depot's First-Quarter A Little Light; Long-term Still Bright
Home Depot’s fiscal 2018 first quarter results came in short of expectations largely due to adverse weather conditions in many parts of the country, but the company reiterated its full-year guidance in a vote of confidence from management.
May 15, 2018
Disney’s Top Line Growing as It Leverages Film Successes
Image Source: David Holt. Media giant Disney has been executing well of late as it leverages its successful content into a broader scope of entertainment, but competition may be heating up related to its pending acquisition of Twenty-First Century Fox’s media assets.


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