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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Apr 30, 2018
Portfolio Diversification Begins at Alexion; Shares Cheap
Image Source: Alexion. We view the acquisition of differentiated, late-stage molecules at an attractive rate as the optimal use of free cash flow for many in the biotech industry. The finite commercial life of a patented drug forces continued innovation as near-total revenue erosion is a certainty once patent protection has lapsed. Let’s review some of the recent events at Alexion to gain a further understanding of the underlying trends affecting the business.
Apr 27, 2018
Dividend Growth Ideas Microsoft and Intel Deliver Strong Free Cash Flow
Microsoft and Intel continue to deliver robust levels of free cash flow, which are core drivers of their respective dividend strength.
Apr 27, 2018
GM and Ford Tune Up Operations for the Future of Automaking
Image Source: GM's first-quarter earnings report. The US auto behemoths continue to place a greater importance on efficient operations and the health of their bottom lines. The industry may be reaching a relative peak in terms of light vehicle production for this economic cycle, and the future of the auto landscape remains uncertain.
Apr 26, 2018
Amazon Surges; Fair Value Under Review
Amazon is no “online book store.” The company’s web services operation is a powerhouse, and its earnings potential is starting to show. We liked the company’s first-quarter 2018 results a lot.
Apr 26, 2018
Best Ideas: Reiterating ~$240 Fair Value on Facebook; Adding Chipotle
We couldn’t be more pleased with Facebook’s first-quarter 2018 results, and we are reiterating our ~$240 per-share fair value estimate on the company. We’re also adding Chipotle as an idea to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, and we’re putting three other speculative considerations on your radar.
Apr 26, 2018
What’s Working (or NOT Working) in Today’s Market?
Image shown: Crude oil continues to lead gainers while consumer staples, REITs, and energy MLPs continue to get shellacked. Let’s take a look at what’s been working and what’s not been working in the market thus far in 2018. To little surprise, in our opinion, commodity prices have been the leaders, while interest-rate sensitive equities have been the laggards. We’ve been expecting this.
Apr 25, 2018
A Trifecta of Good Reports: Visa, Facebook, PayPal
We continue to like the long-term potential at Visa and absolutely love the level of its operating margins. Facebook is going to continue to get bad press, but fundamentally, we think the company is going to make it through to shine once again. PayPal had a nice first-quarter report, and while we would like to see more security with respect to its relationship with eBay, the company’s pace of growth suggests it could easily grow out of its early ties with the auction website.
Apr 25, 2018
The Transformation of Novartis Continues
Image Source: Taki Steve. Leadership change can often bring a great deal of uncertainty especially when a new leader is replacing a successful CEO. In the case of Novartis, we are witnessing a focused effort to streamline the business: a deliberate attempt to shift focus from a sprawling healthcare enterprise towards a more pure-play pharma/biotech powerhouse with an innovative, cutting-edge product portfolio.
Apr 25, 2018
Demand Bouncing Off Multi-Year Bottom at Caterpillar
Improvement in Caterpillar’s underlying end markets is driving its performance, and management took the opportunity following a solid showing in the first quarter of 2018 to raise its bottom-line guidance for the full year. The market, however, did not look favorably on management’s comments that the first quarter should be expected to be the “high-water mark” for the year in terms of margin performance. We’ve updated our fair value estimate of shares.
Apr 25, 2018
Twitter’s Problems: Slow Growth in the US and Low-ROI for Small Business
Image Source: Xiaobin Lui. We like Twitter’s improved free cash flow generation and net cash position on the balance sheet, but it’s too hard for small businesses to build customer trust on the platform, and the lack of engagement from followers at mom-and-pop businesses is almost hard to believe. It seems like Twitter remains primarily a distribution platform for politicians, the media and celebrities, those already having exposure from other avenues. Small, mom-and-pop businesses – the bread and butter behind future advertising revenue at Twitter - can’t make Twitter work for them as returns on their investment remain minimal, at best.


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