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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 30, 2018
Facebook: $236 Fair Value Estimate, Now Rated 6 on the Valuentum Buying Index
Image Source: Facebook's second-quarter slide presentation. We were blindsided by Facebook’s outlook, and so was the market. Nobody feels worse about the Facebook idea than we do. Not only was Facebook a top weighting on the Valuentum Buying Index, but it also grew to a rather large position in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. We added Facebook to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio at $112.10 in January 2016, and a good portion of its outsize returns have been eroded since its peak at ~$220. We still like shares, but for the company to return to top-rated status, the market would have to get behind it in the form of an advancing stock price.
Jul 30, 2018
Chipotle Raises Comps Guidance on Price Increases
Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Chipotle raised its 2018 comparable restaurant sales guidance after a strong second quarter revealed the effectiveness of menu price hikes.
Jul 30, 2018
Dividend Growth Newsletter Portfolio Earnings Roundup
Three simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio ideas reported second-quarter earnings July 26. Let’s take a look at the results.
Jul 30, 2018
Novartis: Business Transformation in Progress
Image shown: The performance of Novartis’ stock price since the beginning of 2017. We’re still fans of Novartis as we feel the steps taken by the new CEO to radically reshape the healthcare conglomerate will unlock significant shareholder value. The company remains one of our favorite dividend growth ideas within the healthcare space.
Jul 29, 2018
AbbVie’s Outlook Remains Blurred
Image Source: Global Panorama. We remain bearish on the outlook for AbbVie as we do not believe the clinical pipeline will be able to adequately offset the loss of revenue when key product Humira loses patent protection beginning in October as a biosimilar enters the European market.
Jul 26, 2018
Facebook Wounds Self-Inflicted, Margin Guidance Issued to Ease Political Pressure
Social media giant Facebook released disappointing operating-margin guidance for the next couple years during its second quarter earnings call, and shares were promptly crushed. We are putting the company’s fair value estimate under review with expectations of a modest downward revision, but we think the company has the ability to absorb growing expenses and capital spending, both of which are almost completely under its control.
Jul 26, 2018
Visa, PayPal Impacted by One-Time Items; Fundamentals Remain Strong
Image shown: The share-price performance of Visa (V) and PayPal (PYPL), top chart, since PayPal split from eBay (EBAY), relative to S&P 500 (SPY), bottom chart.Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio ideas Visa and PayPal both had their calendar second quarter results impacted by one-time items, but we continue to like these strong companies that operate in the very attractive financial technology services industry.
Jul 25, 2018
General Motors Cuts Guidance on Higher Input Costs
Image Source: GM earnings release. Simulated newsletter portfolio idea General Motors cut its full-year guidance due to higher than expected commodity cost increases and devaluation of key currencies in South America. Peers Ford and Fiat Chrysler also lowered 2018 guidance measures following a tough second quarter for the group.
Jul 25, 2018
Boeing’s Massive Backlog Still Growing, Near-Term Margin Concerns Crop Up
Image Source: Robert Sullivan.  Commercial aerospace giant Boeing continues to ride a wave of strong demand as its massive backlog continues to grow, but a write down related to the troubled KC-46 tanker appears to have investors thinking twice about its near-term margin performance.
Jul 24, 2018
Alphabet’s Top-Line Growing Nicely; Spending Also on the Rise
Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Alphabet continued its impressive top-line expansion in its second quarter of 2018, but we’re keeping a close eye on growing cost and capital spending levels. A massive ~$5.1 billion fine from the European Commission also impacted reported results in the period.



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