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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Dec 26, 2018
Prudence and Experience Wins Again
Brian Nelson shares his thoughts on the need for prudence and what may ultimately be the best performing asset class in 2018. This article was sent to members via email December 23.
Dec 26, 2018
Volatility May Only Get Worse
Image Source: TradingView.com. Brian Nelson shares his thoughts on what may lie ahead for the markets and the structural issues presented by price-agnostic trading. This article was sent to members via email December 21.
Dec 26, 2018
Market Looks Vulnerable
Image Source: TradingView.com. Brian Nelson shares his thoughts on portfolio protection and the potential for heightened market volatility moving forward. This article was sent to members via email December 20.
Dec 26, 2018
Stock Market Technical Breakdown
Image Source: TradingView.com. Brian Nelson shares his thoughts on the technical backdrop of the market. This article was sent to members via email December 18.
Dec 26, 2018
Shale and LNG Drive Upstream Production at Chevron
Image Source: Author's Calculations, Chevron Investor Relations. From 2010 to 2017, Chevron’s oil and gas production dropped as output from new producing properties was more than offset by declines at mature fields. By leveraging the company’s extensive unconventional growth runway, management appears to have been able to fix a key structural problem. The revival in Chevron’s upstream production was aided by the completion of two major LNG developments in Australia that offer near-term upside.
Dec 21, 2018
Parting with Altria on News of Stake in JUUL
Image shown: Altria's performance during the past couple years.Tobacco giant Altria is working to expand its long-term growth potential away from the secular decline in cigarette volumes via an investment in the leading US e-cigarette company. Unfortunately, we think its large investment in JUUL has put the pace of its dividend growth at risk, and we’re parting with this long-term winner in both simulated newsletter portfolios. We’re also putting Altria’s fair value estimate under review, and we expect to lower it materially in an updated report to be published after the holidays. Technical weakness has also put a damper on our excitement.
Dec 19, 2018
Oracle Raises Internal Guidance; Share Buybacks Abound
Image Source: May Wong. Oracle’s fiscal 2019 second quarter report revealed expectations for accelerating top-line growth thanks in large part to strong momentum in bookings. The company’s technology leadership may be greater than ever before, and it continues to generate robust free cash flow. Management’s appetite for buybacks appears insatiable.
Dec 17, 2018
In the News: Healthcare Uncertainty, Housing Confidence Drops, and Banks Reel in Risk
Let’s take a look at some of the top stories impacting the markets, including the heightened uncertainty surrounding healthcare legislation, the drop in the NAHB Housing Market Index, and measures being taken by banks to limit exposure to risky counterparties.
Dec 14, 2018
Repub: Johnson & Johnson’s Litigation Risk Manageable
Image Source: Austin Kirk. Let’s talk about how to think about the impact of one-time events on intrinsic value estimates. The magnitude of damages against J&J with respect to its talcum-powder products could be large, but we think the market has slowly factored in the risk of legal liabilities. Once J&J puts these troubles behind it, we think the market may once again warm up to the equity. Shares are trading at only a modest discount to our intrinsic value estimate, however.
Dec 14, 2018
Costco Sinks on Margin Pressures
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Wholesale food retailer Costco disappointed investors with its fiscal first quarter report as margin pressures outweighed strong comparable sales performance.


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