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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Apr 4, 2019
Tesla and GameStop Face Selling Pressure After Notable Disappointments
Image Source: Kamil Murat Yılmaz.  Tesla reported a significant shortfall in its first quarter 2019 deliveries amid global distribution growing pains, which called in to question its ability to deliver on its reiterated guidance for 2019. Meanwhile, video game retailer GameStop continues to face challenges presented by headwinds beyond its control and expects its revenue contraction to accelerate in fiscal 2019. We’re not interested in shares of either company.
Apr 3, 2019
Risks Remain Prevalent For Mortgage REITs
Image shown: Mortgage REITs have held up better than master limited partnerships (MLPs) since mid-2015, but they haven't exactly done well. For income investors, they may be the lesser of the two pain areas, but we're still not really excited about them.The mortgage REIT space remains inherently risky as it is sensitive to difficult to predict mortgage markets, and many in the group employ significant leverage to augment net interest margins. We prefer more diversified plays on income, and while we dig deep into mREITs in this piece, we think caution is still very much in order.
Apr 1, 2019
Big Bank Roundup, Bank of America Catches Our Eye
In this article, let’s catch up with how far the big 6 banks in the US have come since the height of the financial crisis exactly a decade hence. We will highlight the improvements in the banking system, some of the key risks, and a few high level thoughts about the individual franchises leading the US banking system. We like Bank of America the most, and we include diversified banking exposure in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.
Mar 29, 2019
8 Announcements and Top Research You May Have Missed
8 Announcements. This article was sent to members via email March 27.
Mar 26, 2019
Short-Term Headwinds Aside, Applied Materials Has a Bright Dividend Growth Trajectory
Image Source: Applied Materials.  Applied Materials’ strong free cash flow generation drives our favorable opinion of its dividend health, but investors should not ignore the inherent volatility and rapidly-changing dynamics of the semiconductor space, which introduces additional risk to our forecasts of future free cash flows. Near-term headwinds are prevalent for the company, but we think it is well-positioned to capitalize on future growth opportunities, thanks in part to a dedication to robust R&D spending.
Mar 26, 2019
Tenneco’s Shares Undervalued Leading Up to Business Separation
Image Source: Tenneco fourth quarter earnings presentation.  We think shares of Tenneco are undervalued as the company gears up to complete a business separation in the back half of 2019, but we’re not interested in the stock as a great deal of uncertainty surrounds not only the company itself but the auto supplier industry in general. Expectations for a decline in global light vehicle production in 2019 coupled with heightened concerns over the pace of global economic growth do not bode well for the group, and the auto landscape is one that may see material change in coming years.
Mar 22, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 22
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.
Mar 21, 2019
In the News: Dividend Growth Still on Hold at General Mills After Strong Quarter, Avoiding FedEx and BMW After Warnings on Bottom-Line Weakness, and a Biogen as a Prime Example of Risks to Avoid in Biotech
General Mills raised bottom-line and free cash flow conversion expectations for fiscal 2019, but we’re not interested in shares as it continues to prioritize deleveraging over dividend growth in a slow growth environment. International corporations continue to weigh the impact of slowing macroeconomic activity and global trade tensions, as evidenced by FedEx and BMW slashing bottom-line expectations, and shares of Biogen have been rocked by news that it terminated two late-stage studies of a key Alzheimer’s treatment.
Mar 19, 2019
Lockheed Martin May Be a FCF Cow But the Company Should Consider Debt Reduction Over Share Buybacks
Image Source: Lockheed MartinRebounding free cash flow generation makes dividend growth all the more likely going forward, even though Lockheed Martin’s large net debt load needs to be monitored at all times. If the company attempts to makes another splashy purchase, its balance sheet may take on more than it can chew if free cash flow isn’t swiftly allocated to bringing that burden back down. In 2017 and 2018, Lockheed Martin spent $3.5 billion repurchasing its stock. We argue that going forward, the company should start allocating free cash flow to debt repayment. As of this writing, Lockheed Martin trades decently above our fair value estimate, meaning the company would be buying back shares at what we consider premium prices.
Mar 18, 2019
Why We're Staying Away from KLX Energy Services for Now
Image Source: KLX Energy ServicesKLX Energy Services posted tremendous top and bottom-line growth during fiscal 2018 and great margin expansion. That being said, KLX Energy Services was still free cash flow negative, and it carries a material net debt load. While an interesting company and one we will keep on our radar going forward, KLXE is a risky investment in a tough market that even the bigwigs are having trouble navigating. The risks are too great for us.


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