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Feb 28, 2018
Fed Chair Powell’s Debut, Retail Earnings Roundup, and the Dividend Cushion!
The 10-year Treasury yield continues to outpace that of the average dividend yield of an S&P 500 stock, and portfolio managers continue to evaluate long-term allocations as a result. We evaluate the initial testimony from new Fed chairman Jay Powell, report on developments in the crude oil markets, and survey the retail landscape to offer incremental insight into the health of the consumer. The Dividend Cushion ratio continues to prove its worth. Feb 27, 2018
Buffett’s Berkshire, Corporate Buybacks on Pace for Record; Lithium, Steel Prices on the Move
Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway, Shareholder Letter (2017). “Fifteen common stock investments at year end that had the largest market value.” “The less the prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must conduct our own.” – Warren Buffett, Shareholder Letter (2017) Feb 23, 2018
In the News: General Mills, Realty Income, Energy Transfer
General Mills makes a big deal, Realty Income delivers, while Energy Transfer tries to battle back to even. Feb 21, 2018
Market Valuations Not “Insane” But Certainly Not Cheap Either
The stock market is not insanely overpriced, but it is certainly not cheap either. We’re watching the technicals and moves in the 10-year Treasury closely for signs of where the market may go next. We discuss Walmart’s recent disappointment and add another to the list of companies that the Dividend Cushion ratio effectively highlighted the heightened income risk profile of, prior to the dividend cut. Chipotle is on the move! Feb 18, 2018
A Key Inflection Point for Gilead Sciences
Image Source: Gilead. We have closely followed events at Gilead Sciences for signs of an inflection point as we have long felt the market is myopically focused on the Hepatitis C franchise instead of cash flows. Our decision to add the idea to the simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio has played out very well as the share price remains locked in an uptrend. We are updating our thesis following the recent conference call. Feb 16, 2018
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 16
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Feb 15, 2018
Cisco Rallies Big Time!
Image shown: Performance of the S&P 500 (SPY) since August 2017. As US equities continue their newly-found volatility, let’s take a look at some recent earnings reports and other developments around the markets. Cisco, the workhorse of both simulated newsletter portfolios, put up a fantastic report and upped its dividend. Berkshire continues to love Apple, and we maintain the view that the 10-year Treasury rate may be the greatest determinant of how well stocks perform in the coming decades. Airlines, garbage stocks, the “gas tax,” and more. Feb 12, 2018
Stocks Stage Comeback, US Government Budget Released
Image shown: The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since September 2017.The market continues to lick its wounds following the sell-off. We’re watching interest rates and technicals for signs where the market may go next. Feb 9, 2018
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 9
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Feb 8, 2018
Rising Risk Free Rates Threatening Market, Removing CVS and Hanesbrands
The most important variable to keep your eye on, the 10-year Treasury, is rising, and the long-term implications on equity values could be considerable. We don’t think the moves thus far have been too disruptive, but continued concerns over US tax receipts and infrastructure/defense spending could send sovereign yields roaring higher. As fourth-quarter earnings season marches on, let’s take a look at some meaningful recent quarterly reports. We’re also shedding two companies from the simulated newsletter portfolios.
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