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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 19, 2019
In the News: Second-Quarter Earnings Season Marches On
We like what we saw out of a few industrial names, including Honeywell, Danaher and Dover. We thought Taiwan Semi’s report was okay, and Philip Morris continues to navigate declining cigarette volumes. We include our thoughts on some of the mid-size banks.
Jul 19, 2019
Pounding the Table on Bank of America
Image Source: Bank of America 2Q19 Earnings Presentation. Bank of America can be bought for a valuation that reflects the bank as if it were to stand still, even though it is steadily going after the competition and improving its own efficiency and return on capital metrics. We may look to add Bank of America to the newsletter portfolios.
Jul 18, 2019
Kinder Morgan Modestly Disappoints But Its Problems Are Transitory
Image Shown: Kinder Morgan Inc expects a lot of organic growth opportunities will be generated via surging domestic demand for natural gas and rising natural gas export capacity in the US. Image Source: Kinder Morgan Inc – IR Presentation. We remain optimistic on Kinder Morgan’s dividend growth opportunities, and our fair value estimate still stands at $23 per share.
Jul 18, 2019
Netflix Misses Net Subscriber Growth Estimates, Shares Plummet
Shares of Netflix were crushed during the trading session July 18 after the video-streaming company posted second-quarter 2019 earnings. The big miss in its net subscriber additions was the main reason why.
Jul 18, 2019
The Market is Getting Ahead of Itself with Pool Corp
Image Source: Pool Corporation – IR Presentation. While Pool Corp is a good company with a solid growth trajectory and strong free cash flows, we think the market’s getting ahead of itself. Its stock trading activity is indicative of lofty investor expectations that may not come to pass.
Jul 18, 2019
Goldman Sachs May Continue to Suffer
Image Source: Goldman Sachs 2Q2019 Earnings Presentation.  We don’t find Goldman to be very attractive trading above its tangible book value when its return on capital barely clears its cost of capital in the 10th year of a bull market.
Jul 15, 2019
Citigroup Still Has A Lot to Prove
Image Source: Citigroup Quarterly Presentation. Citigroup still has a lot to prove to the markets judging by the skepticism baked into the stock price, which might be well warranted if it turns out we are late in this economic cycle.
Jul 15, 2019
Herbalife Sees a Slow Recovery Ahead
Image Source: Herbalife Nutrition Limited - 2018 10-K. Shares of HLF appear fairly valued as things stand today, with most participants looking to see if Herbalife’s rebound has legs or not. We aren’t interested in the name, but we don’t think the sky is falling either. Herbalife has had a wild ride over the past decade, but now that things are settling down, management sees a slow recovery ahead.
Jul 13, 2019
Reviewing PepsiCo’s Latest Earnings
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Shares of PEP trade well above our fair value estimate and as of this writing are trading near the top end of our fair value range. We aren’t looking to add PEP to any newsletter portfolio, but we appreciate PepsiCo’s improving operational and financial performance in the face of foreign currency headwinds, trade wars, and other exogenous events outside of its control.
Jul 13, 2019
Broadcom Might Buy Symantec: Why Enterprise Valuation Matters
Our fair value estimate for shares of SYMC stands at $25, and that estimate hasn’t changed much over the past few years. Generally speaking, fair value estimates shouldn’t fluctuate much as the value of the discounted free-cash-flows-to-the-firm during the mid-cycle period and into perpetuity generally have the greatest influence on the fair value of the equity. Profit warnings are important, but more so as it relates to the trajectory of the company’s free cash flow generation. Transformative acquisitions, major structural shifts in the industry the company in question operates in, or other fundamental changes are all potential sources of meaningful changes in fair value.


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