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Jan 28, 2024
14%+ Yielding AGNC Investment May Be Worth a Trade
Image: AGNC Investment has managed to level out its dividend payments following a few years of dividend cuts. We’ve never been fans of the mortgage REIT arena, but some stabilization in the marketplace is likely to be expected, allowing a window for investors to generate what could be a very nice dividend yield on an otherwise very risky, leveraged area. As of the end of last year, AGNC Investment Corp. ended the year with $8.70 in tangible net book value, which increased 7.7% from September. Though the stock trades at a slight premium to its tangible net book value at the time of this writing, management’s positive commentary indicates to us that tangible book value may be poised to rise nicely given a more sanguine backdrop. AGNC Investment Corp. is not for long-term investors, but with its 14%+ dividend yield, the stock could make for a very nice high yield dividend income trade, in our view. Jan 22, 2024
Chinese Equities Still Uninvestable
Image: Large cap Chinese equities are back to levels first reached in 2005, almost two decades ago. Things have been so bad in Chinese equities that China’s largest broker has even taken steps to curb short sales. For the past 52 weeks, Alibaba’s shares have fallen more than 41%, Baidu’s shares have dropped more 22%, JD.com’s shares are off more than 63%, Bilibili’s shares are down more than 65%, while Tencent Holdings has fallen more than 30%. Though the steep declines in shares of Chinese equities may attract some bottom fishing, we’re not interested in any Chinese exposure at this time. We continue to like ideas in the newsletter portfolios. Dec 29, 2023
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Dec 23, 2023
12 Reasons to Stay Aggressive in 2024
From outperforming simulated newsletter portfolios to fantastic success rates in the Exclusive publication to option ideas and great income-oriented ideas and beyond, we continue to deliver across our simulated newsletter suite as our latest video outlines. It’s hard to know exactly what 2024 will bring in terms of a market return, but the internals of the stock market and the U.S. economy look great to us. The new bull market we’re in could last for years, and as a result, we are staying aggressive with many of our new ideas as we look to benefit from these favorable trends. Dec 20, 2023
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Dec 1, 2023
A Note on Valuation -- Low P/E Stocks with High Dividend Yields
Image: Stocks with low valuation multiples have trailed the broader S&P 500 (orange) considerably since the depths of the Great Financial Crisis. Today, with all the readily available information and data out there, it is far more likely the case that a company with a low P/E ratio actually deserves it, and a firm with an outsized dividend yield just holds a lot of net debt on their books. Investing in low P/E stocks or stocks with low valuation multiples without considering their intrinsic values (i.e. fair value estimates) may result in owning a basket of value traps. Investors may be attracted to these types of stocks for their low P/E ratios and hefty dividend yields, but just having a low P/E ratio and a high dividend yield doesn’t a good stock make. If investing were this easy, so-called “value stocks” wouldn’t have underperformed the market significantly for more than a decade and a half now. Nov 2, 2023
AMD Continues to Enhance Artificial Intelligence Capabilities
On October 31, Advanced Micro Devices reported solid third-quarter results with revenue advancing 4% on a year-over-year basis and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in slightly better than expectations, with net income up more than four-fold, to $299 million. Management expressed excitement about demand for its Ryzen 7000 series PC processors and noted that its data center business is progressing well thanks to its 4th Gen EPYC CPU portfolio and Instinct MI300 accelerator shipments across various markets, including artificial intelligence [AI]. Oct 3, 2023
We Like NextEra Energy’s ESG Focus But Capital Market Conditions Now Showing Cracks
Image Source: NextEra Energy. NextEra Energy operates a complex business structure, and the firm’s equity is facing pressure on news that its subsidiary NextEra Energy Partners is cutting its distribution per unit growth rate to the range of 5%-8% annually through 2026, which is materially below its prior expectations of growth in the 12%-15%. Since most partnerships are owned primarily for their distribution yields, the revision has sent units of NextEra Energy Partners tumbling, hurting its partner along the way. The news, while not tragic, wasn't very welcoming, and reading between the lines, it appears that we’re starting to see some cracks in the capital markets, as most partnerships are debt-heavy, relying on continuous, affordable access to the capital markets to fund and grow their operations (distributions), which isn’t guaranteed. Aug 28, 2023
Stock Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Aug 6, 2023
Berkshire’s Stake in Apple Has Been a Boon for Shareholders
Image: Apple has been a blessing for Berkshire Hathaway. Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway’s second-quarter 2023 10-Q. Berkshire Hathaway fits the bill of the types of companies we’re looking for in this market environment. The company holds a nice cash position on the books, to the tune of ~$147.4 billion, while notes payable and other borrowings stood at ~$125.3 billion--good for a solid net cash position. Operating cash flow advanced to ~$21.1 billion through the first six months of the year (up from ~$15.4 billion from the same period last year), while purchases of property, plant, and equipment came in at ~$8.4 billion (up from ~$6.8 billion), good enough for free cash flow generation of ~$12.7 billion year-to-date in 2023 (up from ~$8.5 billion). Berkshire’s strong net cash position and impressive free cash flow generating profile are big reasons why we continue to like shares in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
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