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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jun 3, 2025
Dollar General Raises Guidance Despite Tariff Uncertainty
Image: Dollar General’s shares have been under pressure the past few years. Dollar General updated its fiscal year 2025 guidance to reflect first quarter results and tariff uncertainty. Its updated guidance “assumes the company will be able to mitigate a significant portion of the potential impact to its cost of goods sold from tariffs at currently implemented rates, but that consumer spending could be pressured by tariff-related price increases.” As a result of these moving parts, net sales growth for fiscal 2025 is targeted in the range of 3.7%-4.7%, up from prior expectations of 3.4%-4.4%. Same-store sales growth for the year is targeted at 1.5%-2.5% compared to prior expectations of 1.2%-2.2%. Diluted earnings per share is expected in the range of $5.20-$5.80 compared to its prior expectation in the range of $5.10-$5.80. Shares yield 2.4% at the time of this writing.
May 29, 2025
Nvidia Reports Better Than Expected First Quarter Results
Image: Nvidia’s shares are flirting with all-time highs. Nvidia ended the quarter with $53.7 billion in cash and marketable securities versus long-term debt of $8.5 billion. Net cash provided by operating activities was $27.4 billion in the first quarter, up from $15.3 billion in the year-ago period. Free cash flow was $26.2 billion in the quarter, up from $15 billion in the year-ago period. Nvidia is a net cash rich, free cash flow generating, secular growth powerhouse, and we continue to like shares in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Our fair value estimate stands at $163 per share.
May 28, 2025
AT&T Is Targeting $16+ Billion in Free Cash Flow in 2025
Image: AT&T’s shares have performed well of late. For its full year 2025 outlook, AT&T expects consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit range, with mobility service revenue growth at the higher end of the 2%-3% range. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to grow 3% or better for the year. Capital investment is targeted in the $22 billion range, while free cash flow is expected to be greater than $16 billion for the year. Adjusted earnings per share for 2025 is targeted in the range of $1.97-$2.07. Net debt was $119.1 billion at the end of the quarter. The high end of our fair value estimate range is $34 per share. Shares yield 4% at the time of this writing.
May 28, 2025
IBM Continues to Target $13.5 Billion in Free Cash Flow for 2025
Image: IBM’s shares have done quite well the past few years. During the first quarter, IBM returned $1.5 billion to shareholders in dividends while it invested $7.1 billion in acquisitions, including its purchase of HashiCorp. IBM ended the quarter with $17.6 billion in cash and marketable securities, while debt, including IBM Financing debt, totaled $63.3 billion. Looking to the full year 2025, IBM continues to expect constant currency revenue growth of at least 5%. Free cash flow is targeted at $13.5 billion for the full year. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $293 per share. Shares yield 2.6% at the time of this writing.
May 27, 2025
ASML Delivers Despite Tariff Uncertainty
Image: ASML Holding’s shares have been choppy during the past couple years. Looking to the second quarter of 2025, ASML expects “total net sales between €7.2 billion and €7.7 billion, with a gross margin between 50% and 53%.” The firm expects “R&D costs of around €1.2 billion and SG&A costs of around €300 million.” Looking to the full year, ASML expects “total net sales for the year between €30 billion and €35 billion, with a gross margin between 51% and 53%, subject to the uncertainties mentioned earlier.” Though tariffs remain an area of uncertainty, we continue to like ASML as a holding in the ESG Newsletter portfolio.
May 23, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of May 23
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.
May 22, 2025
Target Navigating a Highly Challenging Environment
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to fiscal 2025, Target expects a low-single digit decline in sales and adjusted earnings per share between $7.00-$9.00, when excluding gains from litigation settlements in the first quarter. Target’s results are consistent with an entity that is experiencing macroeconomic and competitive challenges. Walmart and Costco are performing much better than Target, and we don’t expect this to change anytime soon. Target ended the quarter with $2.9 billion in cash and cash equivalents against short- and long-term debt of $15.5 billion. Shares are trading roughly in-line with our fair value estimate.
May 19, 2025
3 Undervalued Stocks to Consider Buying Now
All told, we think these three names are ripe for the picking. UnitedHealth Group has clearly plummeted on bad headline news, while the market is not giving Nvidia enough credit for the sustainability of its technology. Alphabet is being weighed down by antitrust issues and the concern that artificial intelligence will permanently alter its business model, which we believe will not happen anytime soon, if at all. All three ideas are included in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we include a diversified portfolio of ideas for members to consider. Happy investing!
May 19, 2025
Walmart Talks of Higher Prices Due to Tariffs; Trump Takes Exception
Looking to the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Walmart’s net sales are expected to increase 3.5%-4.5%, which includes a 20 basis point tailwind from its acquisition of Vizio. Looking to all of fiscal 2026, the firm left its guidance unchanged. Net sales are expected to increase 3%-4%, while adjusted operating income is targeted to advance between 3.5%-5.5%, which includes a meaningful headwind from lapping leap year. Adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $2.50-$2.60, including foreign currency headwinds. Though Walmart’s fiscal first quarter results revealed strength, President Trump took exception to Walmart’s plans to raise prices as a result of tariffs. We like Walmart, but don’t include the stock in any newsletter portfolio. Read more >>
May 16, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of May 16
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.


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