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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Oct 31, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Food Products (Large/Mid-Cap) Industry
We've reallocated our resources to cover more recession-resistant stocks. Oct 30, 2019
Tech Earnings Roundup: AAPL, FB, GOOG
Several large tech companies reported earnings this week including three of the top holdings in our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. Oct 30, 2019
Johnson & Johnson Announces New Test Results That Reveal No Traces of Asbestos in Johnson Baby Powder Products
Image Source: Johnson & Johnson – February 2019 CAGNY IR Presentation. Major retailers including Walmart, Rite Aid Corp, and CVS Health pulled Johnson Baby Powder products from their shelves after the announcement by the FDA. Johnson & Johnson is hoping that by fighting back it can preserve its brand power, revenues, and position on retailer’s shelves once it’s all said and done. We will continue to monitor this situation going forward and would like to note that Johnson & Johnson, potential legal liabilities aside, raised its full-year guidance for 2019 multiple times this year highlighting the underlying demand for its vast array of healthcare-related offerings. That supports a nice free cash flow growth trajectory. Oct 30, 2019
Caterpillar Misses Estimates and Revises Guidance Downwards
Image Source: Caterpillar Inc – Third quarter 2019 IR presentation. Should the global economy show signs of stabilizing, particularly as it relates to industrial activity, Caterpillar would appear relatively cheap at ~$141 per share as of the end of the October 29 trading session. Recent signs have not been promising. Exports out of South Korea, a barometer for the global economy, continue to plummet while macroeconomic readings in the EU and North America are showing signs of a major slowdown materializing as we speak (particularly in the Eurozone, but that appears to be spreading to the US economy as well). China’s economy continues to feel the heat from the US-China trade war. The low end of our fair value estimate range stands at $125 per share of CAT, meaning that under more pessimistic assumptions, Caterpillar appears fairly valued as of this writing. Oct 29, 2019
Waste Management’s Dividend Well-Covered with Free Cash Flow
Image Source: david.dames. Waste Management is one of our favorite companies in our coverage universe, and the strength of its dividend is undeniable. The company’s operations have performed quite well during the first nine months of 2019, and the executive team expects the momentum to continue into 2020. Management did express some caution as it relates to its industrial segment revenue but reiterated strength in consumer activity and noted that, while its recycling (commodity-sensitive) business isn’t as strong as it originally expected, it expects to achieve its “guidance range of adjusted operating EBITDA of $4.4-$4.45 billion, free cash flow of $2.025-$2.075 billion, and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $4.28-$4.38." Shares of Waste Management yield 1.8% at the time of this writing. Oct 29, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Luxury Goods - Ultra & Aspirational Industry
Image Source: Jill Clardy. We've optimized our consumer discretionary coverage. Oct 28, 2019
High Yield Dividend Newsletter Portfolio Holdings AT&T and Philip Morris International Continue to Shine
Image Shown: AT&T continues to surge higher this year as shares of T converge towards their intrinsic value, a process supported by recent activist investor activity directed towards the company. If you may wish to add the High Yield Dividend Newsletter to your membership, please click here.We continue to like the resurgence in AT&T's shares of late. The company is rapidly converging to our $40 per share fair value estimate, and as the company divests assets and pursues deleveraging, its dividend growth profile is enhanced. Shares already yield an enticing 5.3%, too. Philip Morris has rallied considerably since it broke deal talks with Altria, and we believe the company has a relatively lower business risk profile than Altria. Both Philip Morris and Altria have Dividend Cushion ratios below the 1.25x threshold, or GOOD threshold, but given more positive overall trends at Philip Morris, we prefer the company over Altria at this time. Shares of Philip Morris yield a lofty 5.7% at the time of this writing. Oct 28, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Commercial Services Industry
Image Source: Zach Seward. We've dropped coverage of stocks in the Commercial Services industry. Oct 27, 2019
BREAKING: General Motors and the UAW Reach a Deal, Ending the Strike
Image Shown: Shares of General Motors had come under fire over concerns regarding the extended UAW strike over the past several weeks, but with the strike now over, shares of GM may begin to converge back towards their intrinsic value. For General Motors, the company was a bigger winner than at first glance. While the strike reportedly will cost the company north of $2.0 billion on a pre-tax basis, General Motors was successful at getting several of its underutilized factories closed. Americans want SUVs, crossovers, and pickup trucks, not passenger cars, so maintaining factories set up to meet demand that isn’t there just doesn’t make sense on an economic basis. We see this deal as being a win-win and part of General Motors’ ability to continue improving its cost structure by removing underutilized assets from its operations while keeping in mind the company often needs approval from the union in order to do so. The pay increases are reasonable, and given that underutilized factories are shutting down, we think General Motors’ cost structure will keep getting better over the coming quarters and years ahead. Oct 27, 2019
Economic Commentary – Politics, the WeWork Debacle, and How We Use the Valuentum Buying Index in the Newsletter Portfolios
In our latest Economic Commentary, the Valuentum team continues its discussion on politics and the markets and the implications of a potential WeWork failure on the commercial real estate and construction markets. We’ll also address a very important question: Why are there lower Valuentum Buying Index ratings in the newsletter portfolios at times? The answer is rather straightforward and a good thing! Let’s get started.
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