Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Sep 30, 2015

Free Cash Flow Feeds Cracker Barrel’s Dividend Growth
One of our favorite ideas in the restaurant arena, Cracker Barrel recently reported its full-year fiscal 2015 results. Let’s take a look at the company’s reported performance, as well as some dividend ideas within the full-service restaurant space.

Sep 29, 2015

Speculative Stocks Sinking
Risk appetite has been thrown out the window along with high-yield issuers.

Sep 29, 2015

FAQ: Regarding your article, "Warning: The Master Limited Partnership Business Model May Not Survive..."
Regarding your article, "Warning: The Master Limited Partnership Business Model May Not Survive," it seems that you are lumping both “growth capex” and “maintenance capex” into the same category. The two should be separated out since “growth capex” has to do with future cash flows (building of new pipelines) and “maintenance capex” has to do with current cash flows. If you were to do this, it shows that the dividends are NOT financially engineered. Are my comments incorrect?

Sep 28, 2015

Warning: The Master Limited Partnership Business Model May Not Survive
The master limited partnership business model may not survive this downdraft of the energy cycle as the worst may still be ahead, unfortunately.

Sep 25, 2015

Caterpillar Prepares for Continued Pressure; Slashing Our Fair Value
Caterpillar recently announced a significant restructuring and cost reduction plan that will result in thousands of employees losing their jobs, but this isn’t the first time the firm has attempted to cut costs in recent years. Could the economic downturn affecting its most-served industries be more significant and prolonged than originally anticipated?

Sep 24, 2015

China, Petrobras and the Circling Sharks
A key gauge of manufacturing activity in China plummets to Financial Crisis lows, Brazil’s Petrobras may be the first major casualty of the country’s deepening recession, and lenders are beginning to tighten the noose on overleveraged commodity producers in America.

Sep 18, 2015

The Fed Freezes; Outlook as Bad as Feared or Worse?
The global economy may be far worse than even some pessimists believe, as the need for a continued ZIRP (zero interest-rate policy) remains the Fed’s tactic, at least for now.

Sep 17, 2015

Setting the Record Straight on Kinder Morgan
Let’s explain.

Sep 15, 2015

As the World Turns
We’re keeping our eyes on a number of things. First, we’re monitoring property prices in Shanghai and in other larger Chinese cities to assess the potential calamity that falling housing prices and deflation would have on the country’s banking sector and the likelihood of contagion via the British banks, HSBC and Standard Chartered, and the US ones, namely Citigroup and JP Morgan. Second, we’re watching the price of crude oil closely, as its fall will have huge implications on the earnings trajectory of companies that benefit (airlines, restaurants) as well as the ones that suffer (upstream and energy services). The net effect of falling crude oil prices has thus far been negative for S&P 500 earnings, but this may change as the energy sector becomes an ever-smaller part of index construction. Third, who can forget about the Fed, the expected duration of any tightening monetary cycle, and the resulting implications on dividend-paying stocks as Treasury yields rise?

Sep 15, 2015

Major Grocers Growing Sales But Not Clean Stories
Major grocers reported solid top-line performance in their most recent quarterly results, but between overleveraged balance sheets and public relations nightmares, there are not many clean ideas. Asparagus water, anyone?