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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 3, 2024
High Yield Dividend Income Investing Is Not as Easy as Chasing the Highest Yield
Image: EpicTop10.com. The skills to successfully invest for long-term capital gains or long-term dividend growth are much different than those required for generating high yield dividend income. Income investing is a much different proposition. However, the skills do center on a similar equity evaluation process, but one that requires an acknowledgement and heightened awareness of considerably greater downside risks. Income investing, or high yield dividend income investing, should at times be considered among the riskiest forms of investing, as many high dividend-yielding securities tend to trade closer to the characteristics of junk-rated bonds than they do most net cash rich and free cash flow generating powerhouses that we like so much in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.
Jul 1, 2024
Boeing to Acquire Spirit AeroSystems
Image: Boeing’s shares have traded sideways the past few years as it works to fix safety issues. Boeing benefits from its global oligopoly with Airbus, but the company is in a world of hurt at the moment. Looking at its first-quarter results shows a sizable core non-GAAP net loss per share, operating cash flow burn of $3.4 billion, as well as free cash flow burn of $3.9 billion. We think the near term will continue to be difficult for Boeing as it struggles to right the ship, but a more bullish take will point to its total company backlog of $539 billion, which includes 5,600+ commercial airplanes, as one reason to be optimistic. To us, however, Boeing continues to be a show-me story, and we remain on the sidelines with respect to shares.
Jun 28, 2024
Nike’s Revenue Under Pressure
Image: Nike’s shares have languished of late, and a comeback will take some time. Nike retains one of the strongest brand names across our coverage universe, and customer loyalty remains a key attribute to a bull case for shares. However, the company’s fiscal 2025 will be challenging, with considerable weakness during the first quarter of fiscal 2025. We like Nike’s business model, but we remain on the sidelines as we adjust our valuation model to reflect the lower-than-expected fiscal 2025 performance.
Jun 27, 2024
Shares of Walgreens Boots Alliance Collapse
Image: Walgreens’ shares have been under constant pressure for some time now. On June 27, Walgreens Boots Alliance reported mixed third quarter results for fiscal 2024. Though net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow improved in the fiscal third quarter, the better cash management was overshadowed by lowered guidance. The company lowered its fiscal 2024 adjusted earnings per share guidance to the range of $2.80-$2.95 “reflecting challenging pharmacy industry trends and a worse-than-expected U.S. consumer environment.” Consensus had been looking for $3.22 per share in adjusted earnings for the fiscal year. We’re not interested in Walgreens at all and think the worst may still be ahead for the company. Shares yield ~8.5% at the time of this writing.
Jun 26, 2024
FedEx’s Cost Initiatives Drive Strong Fiscal 2025 Guidance
Image Source: FedEx. On June 25, FedEx reported better than expected fourth quarter results for fiscal 2024. The company continues to focus on becoming more efficient, closing facilities as well as retiring inefficient aircraft. Shares yield ~2.1% at the time of this writing.
Jun 25, 2024
Carnival Corp. Experiencing Strong Demand Trends
Image: Carnival Corp.’s shares have bounced from its 2022 lows, but the company has yet to return to new highs, despite strong bookings demand. On June 25, Carnival Corp. reported better-than-expected second quarter results for fiscal 2024. The company is experiencing strong bookings momentum and generated record booking volumes for 2025 sailings. The strong demand is facilitating higher prices (in constant currency) for orders taken during 2024 and its most recently completed second quarter, in particular.
Jun 24, 2024
FactSet Research Reveals Softness on Top Line
Image: FactSet’s shares have been choppy the past couple years. On June 21, FactSet Research reported mixed third-quarter fiscal 2024 results that showed revenue increasing 4.3%, in-line with expectations, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $4.37, up 15.3% from last year’s quarter and better than what the Street was looking for. Quarterly free cash flow was $216.9 million, up 12.6%. FactSet’s recent 6% dividend increase marked the 25th consecutive year the firm has raised its dividend on a stock split-adjusted basis. Shares yield ~1%.
Jun 21, 2024
CarMax Dealing with Vehicle Affordability Issues
Image: CarMax’s shares have yet to recover from prior year highs. CarMax’s quarter wasn’t great, and while industry trends are improving, stiff headwinds are still prevalent. We remain on the sidelines with respect to shares.
Jun 20, 2024
Kroger’s Identical Store Sales Beat Consensus
Image: Kroger’s shares have been choppy during the past couple years. Kroger reaffirmed its full-year 2024 guidance. The company expects identical-store without fuel of 0.25%-1.75%, adjusted FIFO operating profit of $4.6-$4.8 billion and adjusted net earnings per diluted share of $4.30-$4.50. Adjusted free cash flow is targeted in the range of $2.5-$2.7 billion on capital expenditures of $3.4-$3.6 billion for the year. Kroger ended the quarter with ~$12.2 billion in debt and $345 million in cash. All things considered, we liked Kroger’s report, but uncertainties regarding its deal with Albertsons coupled with a large net debt position leave us on the sidelines. Shares yield ~2.2% at the time of this writing. 
Jun 18, 2024
Lennar Navigating Fluctuating Interest Rate Environment Well
Image: Lennar has been a strong performer since the beginning of 2023. We liked the quarterly update from Lennar, and while we won’t be adding this homebuilder to any newsletter portfolio, we’re interpreting its performance as another positive data point regarding the macroeconomic environment.


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