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Jul 18, 2024
Domino’s Suspends Long-term Global Net Store Growth Guidance
Image: Domino’s shares have done well since the beginning of 2023, but visibility into its long-term global net store growth has become murky given problems at one of its master franchisees. Domino’s quarterly results and free cash flow performance weren’t poor by any stretch, but the firm disappointed investors with respect to its updated global net store growth forecast. The company noted that it will come up 175-275 stores short of its international store growth target in 2024, and it temporarily suspended its guidance that previously called for 1,100+ global net stores annually over the period 2024-2028. It now expects 825-925 net new stores in 2024. We didn’t like the news, but we remain fans of Domino’s long-term story and are keeping the idea as a holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Jul 18, 2024
Taiwan Semiconductor Impresses in Second Quarter, Gives Strong Outlook
Image: Taiwan Semiconductor reported better-than-expected second quarter results. Though Taiwan Semiconductor is exposed to geopolitical uncertainty, perhaps exacerbated by former President Donald Trump’s latest comments about how Taiwan should pay the U.S. for national defense, the company’s outlook remains robust, in our view. Taiwan Semiconductor remains one of our favorite ideas in the ESG Newsletter portfolio. Jul 17, 2024
Johnson & Johnson Finetunes 2024 Bottom Line Guidance
Image: J&J’s shares have faced pressure since the beginning of 2023. Looking to all of 2024, J&J continues to expect adjusted operations sales growth in the range of 5.5%-6%, but it finetuned adjusted operational earnings per share to the range of $10.00-$10.10 from $10.60-$10.75 previously. The company’s improved performance was offset by the collective impact of its recent acquisitions of Shockwave Medical, Proteologix, and NM26 Bispecific Antibody. We’re not reading too much into the downward bottom-line guidance revision as J&J remains a free-cash-flow cow with a pristine AAA credit rating. Though J&J is not included in any newsletter portfolio, it’s hard not to like the company. Shares yield ~3.3% at the time of this writing. Jul 17, 2024
ASML Holding Reports Strong Bookings in Second Quarter
Image: ASML Holding has been a strong stock performer since the beginning of 2023. Though performance in the second quarter could have been better, ASML reiterated its outlook for 2024, which it describes as a “transition year.” Total net sales in 2024 are expected to be similar to 2023. The company ended the quarter with €4.6 billion in long-term debt and €5.0 billion in cash and short-term investments. Second quarter results were disappointing, but we continue to like ASML as one of the most prolific innovators in the semiconductor industry. Jul 12, 2024
Fastenal’s Revenue Beat a Positive Read Through to the Broader Economy
Image: Fastenal’s second quarter results were a positive read through to the broader economy. On July 12, Fastenal Company reported mixed second quarter results where revenue modestly exceeded the consensus forecast, while the company’s GAAP earnings per share was in-line. For the first six months of 2024, net sales advanced 1.8%, while operating income fell 1.4% and net income dropped 0.5%. Diluted earnings per share of $1.03 for the first six months of the year was 0.7% lower than the mark achieved over the same period a year ago. Fastenal’s better-than-expected revenue performance is a positive read through to the broader economy. Jul 12, 2024
JPMorgan Chase’s Return on Capital Shines in Second Quarter
Image Source: Hakan Dahlstrom. On July 12, JPMorgan Chase reported second quarter results that beat expectations on the top line, but came up a bit short on the bottom line. JPMorgan is an important bellwether for the global economy, and its second quarter results spoke of continued strength and high returns on capital. We include Financial Select SPDR in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio to capture diversification benefits from the largest financial institutions. Shares of JPM yield 2.2% at the time of this writing. Jul 11, 2024
Delta Air Lines Speaks of Industry Fare Pressures
Image Source: Colin Brown. Delta Air Lines reported disappointing second-quarter results on July 11 with both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in lower than expected. The company put up record June quarter revenue, which reached $15.4 billion on an adjusted operating basis, up 5.4% from the same period a year ago, but the Street was looking for more. Earnings per share of $2.36 also missed the consensus forecast. Though airlines have largely rationalized capacity in recent years, fare pressures are starting to weigh on performance. We maintain our view that airlines are not long-term investments given their leverage to a cyclical economy and volatile jet fuel prices. Jul 11, 2024
PepsiCo Adjusts Organic Revenue Growth Guidance
Image: PepsiCo’s shares have been choppy since the beginning of 2022. We’re not reading too much into PepsiCo's modest downward organic revenue growth guidance revision for 2024 (approximated 4% versus at least 4%), as the firm's underlying profitability remains strong, with expectations for at least 8% core constant currency expansion in 2024. Total cash returns to shareholders is targeted at $8.2 billion for 2024, consisting of dividends of $7.2 billion and share repurchases of $1 billion. For the 24 weeks ended June 15, PepsiCo had negative free cash flow, while it retained a hefty net debt position on the balance sheet. Though PepsiCo is not a net-cash-rich, free cash flow generating powerhouse, we like the diversification benefits it provides in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Jul 8, 2024
3 High Dividend Yielders for Consideration
Image: Energy Transfer, Philip Morris, and Altria have outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 Dividend ETF since the beginning of 2024. The market remains laser-focused on inflation readings and employment trends – two of the main dynamics that influence policy at the Federal Reserve. Since the beginning of 2024, the market has ratcheted down expectations of rate cuts from as many as 5 or 6 to just 1 or 2 in 2024. With yields on risk-free instruments poised to go lower soon, a focus on high yielding equities may be appropriate for the income investor. Here are three high dividend yielders that we like for consideration. Jul 6, 2024
Constellation Brands’ Beer Business Continues to Propel Results
Image Source: Constellation Brands. On July 3, alcoholic beverages giant Constellation Brands reported mixed first quarter fiscal 2025 results, where revenue came in a bit light relative to expectations, but non-GAAP earnings per share was better than the consensus forecast. Comparable net sales increased 6%, while comparable operating income jumped 12%. Comparable earnings per share advanced 17%, to $3.57. Shares yield ~1.6% at the time of this writing.
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