HomeSubscribeLogin
HomeLogout

ValuentumAd

Official PayPal Seal













Oct 4, 2024
Constellation Brands’ Beer Business Continues to Propel Results
Image Source: Constellation Brands. Looking to fiscal 2025 guidance, Constellation Brands expects net sales growth of 4%-6% led by Beer net sales growth of 6%-8%, offset in part by net sales declines of 4%-6% for Wine and Spirits. Operating cash flow is targeted at $2.8-$3 billion, while capital spending is expected in the range of $1.4-$1.5 billion, including major investments in its Mexico beer operations. Free cash flow is expected at $1.4-$1.5 billion. On a comparable basis, management is targeting earnings per share at $13.60-$13.80 for the fiscal year versus $12.38 in fiscal 2024.
Oct 2, 2024
Nike In the Midst of a CEO Transition, Withdraws Full Year Guidance
Image: Nike’s shares have been under pressure as the firm continues to underperform. Nike is in the midst of a management transition with Elliott Hill returning to the company in the capacity of President and CEO effective October 14. Looking to the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Nike expects revenue to be down in the 8%-10% range and gross margins to be down roughly 150 basis points, pointing to higher promotions and channel mix headwinds. Though Nike has a storied brand, unmatched by rivals, it has fallen on difficult times, and we’re staying on the sidelines with respect to shares. Shares yield 1.7% at the time of this writing.
Sep 30, 2024
Carnival Corp. Experiencing Strong Demand
Image: Carnival’s shares have traded sideways since the beginning of 2024. We like the demand momentum behind Carnival’s business, but its balance sheet keeps us on the sidelines. The company ended the quarter with $1.5 billion in cash and $28.9 billion in long-term debt. Fitch rates the company’s debt as non-investment grade with a BB credit rating. S&P rates its debt at BB and Moody’s B1. The company’s economic returns aren’t that much greater than its cost of capital either, even during good times. Carnival’s shares have been roughly flat year-to-date.
Sep 27, 2024
Costco’s Shares Remain Pricey
Image Source: Costco. We liked Costco’s fiscal 2024 fourth quarter performance, despite the slight miss on the top line. Based on its adjusted comp performance in the period, we think Costco is gaining share against other big box retailers, too. The only problem with Costco, however, at the moment is its valuation, which remains elevated, with shares trading at 45-50 times next year’s earnings. Costco is a great company, but our fair value estimate is substantially below its share price, meaning we won’t be interested in shares unless they drop significantly.
Sep 26, 2024
An Important Measure of Leverage for Dividend-Growth and Income-Oriented Shareholders, One That Is Dividend-Adjusted
As more and more investors rely on company dividends for income, dividends, in our view, have become more debt-like commitments in nature, especially from the perspective of dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders. Years ago, we rolled out a measure of financial leverage that considers both the company’s debt and the present value of its future expected cash dividend obligations, which, in the eyes of die-hard dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders, may be implicitly assumed to be debt-like commitments in substance. We think this leverage ratio can be used in conjunction with the Dividend Cushion ratio to gain additional insight into the dividend-paying financial health of an entity.
Sep 23, 2024
GE Vernova Is a Great Clean Energy Idea
Image: GE Vernova has performed well since it was spun out of GE. GE Vernova is one of our favorite clean energy ideas, and its financials speak to continued strength. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $243 per share.
Sep 20, 2024
Incentives Pressuring Lennar’s Homebuilding Gross Margin
Image: Lennar’s shares have done quite well the past several years. For the fiscal fourth quarter of 2024, Lennar expects new orders in the range of 19,000-19,300, deliveries of 22,500-23,000 with an average sales price of about $425,000. Lennar ended the fiscal third quarter with $4.04 billion of cash and cash equivalents and $2.26 billion in senior notes and other debts payable, net, good for a nice net cash position on the balance sheet. Though the company’s gross margin guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter came up short, with expectations of it being flat with the fiscal third quarter (22.5% versus consensus of 24.3%), the backdrop for the housing market remains strong and may grow stronger as the Fed engages in a rate-cutting cycle.
Sep 20, 2024
FedEx Reduces Fiscal 2025 Outlook
Image: FedEx’s shares have bounced back from the October 2022 lows, but its fiscal 2025 outlook disappointed the Street. FedEx’s revised outlook left a lot to be desired. The company now expects fiscal 2025 revenue growth to be in the low single digits, compared to a previous expectation of low-to-mid single digits. Earnings per diluted share before the mark-to-market retirement plans accounting adjustments is now expected in the range of $17.90-$18.90 versus a prior forecast of $18.25-$20.25 per share. Also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, fiscal 2025 earnings per share is targeted in the range of $20.00-$21.00 per share compared to its prior forecast of $20.00-$22.00 per share, the midpoint below consensus of $20.93 per share. Shares yield 1.8%.
Sep 16, 2024
Korn Ferry’s Margin Performance Impressive in Fiscal First Quarter
Image: Korn Ferry’s shares have bounced nicely since its bottom in late 2023. Looking to the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Korn Ferry's fee revenue is expected in the range of $655-$685 million, while adjusted diluted earnings per share is expected to be between $1.14-$1.26. Though Korn Ferry faced pressure in Professional Search and RPO during its fiscal first quarter, we liked the improvement in Executive Search fee revenue, as well as its margin expansion, which was material in the period. Our fair value estimate for Korn Ferry stands at $78 per share. Shares yield 2.1%.
Sep 13, 2024
Adobe's Fiscal Fourth Quarter Outlook Comes Up Short of Expectations
Image: Adobe’s shares traded down on a weaker than expected fiscal fourth quarter outlook. Though Adobe’s outlook for the fiscal fourth quarter came up short, we continue to like its net-cash-rich balance sheet and strong free cash flow generation. We’re already quite tech heavy in the simulated newsletter portfolios, so we won’t be considering Adobe for inclusion, but the company is worth watching closely, especially as shares dip following its fiscal third quarter report. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands north of $660 per share.


The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.