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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Oct 17, 2019
Citigroup Lags Peers in Key Metrics
Image Source: Matt Buck. Citigroup remains well capitalized with a 11.6% Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio, but there isn’t room to lever up. Management has recently expressed less optimism about reaching its previously stated goal of reaching a 13.5% ROTCE in 2020, and the market consensus has them coming up short of the same goal. Operating leverage has helped the bank improve this metric by several percentage points in the past few years, but it appears that the cost-cutting road is getting increasingly difficult. Now more revenue dependent in improving its return metric, this leaves the bank also counting on the 11-year economic upcycle to continue. It is therefore unsurprising that this bank trades right near its tangible book value of $69.03 per share. Our fair value estimate remains $71 per share.
Oct 16, 2019
Wells Fargo’s 4%+ Dividend Yield Offers Support to Shares
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Wells Fargo’s lack of a sizable investment bank and trading operations is a bit of a Rorschach Test for analysts and investors. On the one hand, it makes it harder to compete for business from the largest of large corporates, since it is not a full one stop shop. On the other hand, it means higher-quality earnings from bread-and-butter banking and reduced exposure to the wildly cyclical and low return world of investment-banking and trading. Given its impressive dividend yield of 4.1% as of this writing, we think the shares have a floor beneath them, barring any additional scandals coming to light--something we think is unlikely at this stage. Our fair value estimate remains $52 per share.
Oct 16, 2019
BREAKING: UAW-GM Reaches Deal, More Coming from Valuentum Soon...
BREAKING: UAW-GM Reaches Deal, More Coming from Valuentum Soon...
Oct 15, 2019
Johnson & Johnson Raises Full-Year Guidance Yet Again
Mounting legal liabilities have been weighing negatively against Johnson & Johnson and its stock price over the past year as investors fret about the size of these potential settlements/judgements. We see the firm’s latest quarterly performance and guidance increase for 2019 as validation of the strength of Johnson & Johnson’s broad-based healthcare business model. Once the market gets a better idea of Johnson & Johnson’s total potential legal liabilities, shares could begin to converge towards their intrinsic value given the underlying strength in the firm’s businesses. Our fair value estimate for shares of JNJ stands at ~$150 per share.
Oct 14, 2019
Economic Commentary: Robots, Value Trap, and Politics on the Markets
Valuentum sat down for the latest installment of its periodic economic commentary, and the team tackled a wide array of topics, from robots on Wall Street, to President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s new book Value Trap, to political influence on the markets and boyond. Let’s set the stage with a prompt from a recent Bloomberg article, “The Master of Robots…Coming for Wall Street...
Oct 11, 2019
Apple Surges Higher!
We continue to like Apple and think shares will continue advancing toward the upper end of our fair value estimate range ($260+). Recent technical strength at Apple is possibly a sign that investors are beginning to price in the very positive tailwind the tech giant’s ‘Services’ segment represents in terms of both sales and margin upside (and the positive effect that has on Apple’s expected future free cash flows).
Oct 10, 2019
5 Questions Answered by the Valuentum Team
Image Source: Eric. Let’s cover some recently asked questions for the benefit of all.
Oct 10, 2019
Covering Best Ideas Newsletter Holding Berkshire Hathaway
Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway Inc – 2018 Annual Report. As a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares have room to run in our view. Our fair value estimate for BRK.B stands at $229 per share, significantly higher than where shares are trading at as of this writing (~$204 per share). Please note Berkshire Hathaway does not pay out a common dividend at this time.
Oct 9, 2019
Oracle Makes a Big Push Into the Cloud
Image Source: Oracle Corporation – September 2019 IR Presentation. On Monday October 7, Reuters reported that Oracle Corporation planned to hire an additional ~2,000 workers to support the tech giant’s cloud expansion strategy. These new jobs would be centered around San Francisco, Seattle, and India. We continue to like Oracle as a holding in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and are excited to see how its push into new international cloud computing markets will pan out. Our fair value estimate stands at $55 per share, roughly where ORCL is trading at as of this writing, with the top end of our fair value estimate range sitting at $66 per share (Oracle could test the upper bounds of our range should its cloud computing growth story pick up steam).
Oct 7, 2019
General Motors and the Union Strike!
Image Source: General Motors Company – IR Presentation. A holding in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios, shares of General Motors have come under pressure over the past month from the ongoing strike that involves roughly 46,000-48,000 of its workers (primarily in the US). Our fair value estimate for shares of General Motors stands at $48 per share, well above where GM is trading at as of this writing. We continue to like the name and will be monitoring ongoing UAW-GM talks very closely going forward. Shares of GM yield 4.4% as of this writing.


The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.