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Jul 18, 2019
Goldman Sachs May Continue to Suffer
Image Source: Goldman Sachs 2Q2019 Earnings Presentation. We don’t find Goldman to be very attractive trading above its tangible book value when its return on capital barely clears its cost of capital in the 10th year of a bull market. Jul 17, 2019
Wells Fargo Showing Damage from Scandals
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Wells might be leaking core deposits as compared to peers and paying up for interest earning deposits. Jul 16, 2019
Johnson & Johnson Revises Sales Guidance Higher Yet Again
Image Shown: Johnson & Johnson revised its expected sales growth rate for 2019 upwards, however, pressures on its operating margin forced management to keep adjusted EPS forecasts the same. Image Source: Johnson & Johnson – IR Presentation. Consumer packaged goods and healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson, a holding in both our simulated Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios, reported second-quarter 2019 earnings July 16 that received mixed reviews from the market. Shares of JNJ initially sold off before recovering later in the trading day. Jul 16, 2019
J.P. Morgan’s Net Interest Margins to Come Under Pressure
Image Source: Trending Topics 2019. It remains very clear that the Consumer & Community Banking segment is the crown jewel of JPMorgan's business with an ROE of 31% in the quarter with the Asset & Wealth Management not far behind at 27% ROE in the quarter. Jul 15, 2019
Citigroup Still Has A Lot to Prove
Image Source: Citigroup Quarterly Presentation. Citigroup still has a lot to prove to the markets judging by the skepticism baked into the stock price, which might be well warranted if it turns out we are late in this economic cycle. Jul 15, 2019
Herbalife Sees a Slow Recovery Ahead
Image Source: Herbalife Nutrition Limited - 2018 10-K. Shares of HLF appear fairly valued as things stand today, with most participants looking to see if Herbalife’s rebound has legs or not. We aren’t interested in the name, but we don’t think the sky is falling either. Herbalife has had a wild ride over the past decade, but now that things are settling down, management sees a slow recovery ahead. Jul 13, 2019
Reviewing PepsiCo’s Latest Earnings
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Shares of PEP trade well above our fair value estimate and as of this writing are trading near the top end of our fair value range. We aren’t looking to add PEP to any newsletter portfolio, but we appreciate PepsiCo’s improving operational and financial performance in the face of foreign currency headwinds, trade wars, and other exogenous events outside of its control. Jul 13, 2019
Broadcom Might Buy Symantec: Why Enterprise Valuation Matters
Our fair value estimate for shares of SYMC stands at $25, and that estimate hasn’t changed much over the past few years. Generally speaking, fair value estimates shouldn’t fluctuate much as the value of the discounted free-cash-flows-to-the-firm during the mid-cycle period and into perpetuity generally have the greatest influence on the fair value of the equity. Profit warnings are important, but more so as it relates to the trajectory of the company’s free cash flow generation. Transformative acquisitions, major structural shifts in the industry the company in question operates in, or other fundamental changes are all potential sources of meaningful changes in fair value. Jul 12, 2019
3M Dividend Still Strong for Now in the Face of Legal Troubles
Image Source: 3M Company – IR Presentation. While 3M has good dividend coverage, it could be better. In the event PFAS-related lawsuits end up going against 3M, the company may have to consider suspending its share buyback program in order to maintain its current payout while covering legal settlements. Jul 11, 2019
Valuentum Exclusive Yearly Round Up
"I want finance to learn from the past, the quantitative mistakes of yesteryear that brought the world economy to its knees. The misaligned incentives that created a massive bubble and subsequent housing market crash. The problems of leverage in yet another quant hedge fund Long Term Capital Management that caused panic in the late 1990s. Wall Street is not learning from history, and many are going wildly down the path of destruction. Don’t confuse indexing with a bull market. Pay attention to what you own. Stay diversified, and most of all, do your own due diligence." -- President of Investment Research, Brian Nelson, CFA
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