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Jan 6, 2012
Macy's Hits Multi-Year High; Continues to Converge to Our $42 Fair Value Estimate
We initiated coverage of Macy's in early October with a fair value estimate of $42 per share and a VBI rating of 9. The stock has since rallied nearly 30% to the mid-$30s to hit a multi-year high, and we think further valuation upside remains in the name. Jan 6, 2012
Alcoa Cuts Smelter Capacity on Reduced Aluminum Prices
Alcoa plans to scale back smelter capacity by 12% in the wake of weak aluminum prices, which have fallen by almost 30% since the peak last year. We remain on the sidelines with respect to Alcoa's shares and point to Precision Castparts as a better metals play. Jan 4, 2012
A Name for Your Radar: Collector's Universe (CLCT)
We dig into the investment case of Collector's Universe. Though its yield is attractive at almost 9%, we'd only grow constructive on the shares if they fell into the single digits. Jan 2, 2012
Valuentum's January Edition of its Dividend Growth Newsletter!
The January edition of our Dividend Growth Newsletter is now available. Dec 27, 2011
Sears Converges to Our $36 Fair Value Estimate; Shares Off Nearly 25% Today
Sears announced today that it would close between 100 and 200 stores (both of the Sears and Kmart variety) in an effort to shore up its finances as it struggles to compete with big-box retailers like Lowes, Home Depot, Wal-Mart, and Target. The troubled retailer also said that comparable same-store-sales continue to fall and that its earnings for the fourth-quarter would come in at less than half of last-year's levels. Valuentum subscribers were well aware of Sears' overvaluation as the firm now trades in-line with our $36 fair value estimate, after falling by roughly half since we initiated coverage of the retailer in early October. Dec 23, 2011
Yahoo Mulls Asian Asset Swap; Risk Remains to the Downside
Yahoo reportedly has plans to engage in a tax-free asset swap with its Asian assets. We think the move, if completed, will shore up the firm's finances. However, long-term investors can find better firms in the Internet sector than the beleaguered search-engine company. Dec 21, 2011
Oracle Issues Poor Fiscal Second-Quarter Results; Customers Delay Purchases
Oracle posted disappointing fiscal second-quarter results that sent the shares tumbling by almost 15% today. The firm noted that weakness in software license sales was caused by customers putting off purchases. However, we think there may be more to the poor results than a timing issue and remain on the sidelines with respect to the shares. Dec 21, 2011
Nike’s Second Quarter Results Were a Mixed Bag; Valuation Unchanged
Nike posted mixed second-quarter results, and pressures mount for athletic apparel makers to deliver on pricing as inventory costs continue to rise. Dec 20, 2011
General Mills Posts Poor Fiscal Second-Quarter Results; Input Costs Represent Major Headwind
General Mills' fiscal second-quarter results showed significant profit pressure due to its recent Yoplait acquisition and rising input costs. We're not compelled to scoop up the shares and maintain the firm is fairly valued. Dec 20, 2011
Under Armour Performing Well But Still Significantly Overvalued
We're expecting a strong holiday season from Under Armour, but the firm's shares remain significantly overvalued. We'd steer clear of the shares.
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