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Jan 16, 2019
Disappointing Department Store Updates
Image Source: Troy Tolley. Traditional retail continues to face pressure via the shift of consumer shopping habits to online retailers, and the 2018 holiday season was indicative of this trend. Let’s take a look at the holiday updates of a number of key players. Jan 15, 2019
Fed Might Slow After All, Bank Reports Just Okay
Image shown: The yield curve is flattening. Source: Federal Reserve Bank, St. Louis. The biggest question with Fed policy is whether the FOMC will purposefully cause an inversion in the yield curve. If it thinks the market is manipulating long rates to influence its policy, it may very well go forward with rate hikes. If it doesn't, it may very well slow the pace of rate hikes or even pause them. The behavioral implications of a yield-curve inversion may be more significant than the inversion, itself, however. No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios Jan 15, 2019
In the News: Apple vs. Qualcomm, Intel and AMD, Visa in China, and Netflix’s Pricing
Let’s take a look at some of the top stories on some of the biggest names in tech. Apple secured a legal victory in Germany, rumors swirl Intel and AMD, Visa’s efforts in China may have hit a speedbump, and Netflix is enacting its largest price hike ever on its US subscribers. Jan 14, 2019
Value Trap, More Volatility; We're Waiting and Watching
Image shown: The decision to remove GE from the simulated newsletter portfolios when we did may have been our best call yet. In this note, let's talk about the importance of reading Value Trap, learn why we've gone "fully invested," talk a little bit about put options, learn some of the intricacies of the Valuentum process, find out where to find VBI rankings to download and sort, and talk about some of our recently-highlighted ideas in the simulated newsletter portfolios. No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios. Jan 14, 2019
Occidental Petroleum: Flexible Capital Allocation Strategies
Image Source: Occidental Petroleum Corporation. Occidental Petroleum laid out a plan to generate positive free cash flow at various price points in 2019, and management has shown a willingness to adjust spending levels in the past. Let’s dig into the framework Occidental has established for how it can adjust effectively to changes in raw energy resource prices. Jan 11, 2019
We Think General Motors Is Poised for New Highs
Simulated newsletter portfolio idea General Motors has had one choppy ride since shares were re-released onto the marketplace after the bailout some years ago. The automaker had some good news today, and shares are bouncing nicely in an otherwise weak market. This relative strength is remarkable considering concerns about China's pace of economic expansion and potential backlash against American icons in the country. Jan 11, 2019
SMART Global Holdings’ Headwinds Highlight Potential Gross Margin Pressure in Memory
Image source: SMART Global investor presentation. Shares of data and storage firm SMART Global dropped precipitously following its fiscal 2019 first quarter report. A change in Brazil’s local content rules and higher levels of seasonality have impacted its top-line and gross margin expectations and reduced visibility in its business. Potentially volatile gross margin performance is a key risk of the memory space. Jan 11, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending January 11
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Jan 10, 2019
New 10s! -- Stock Report Updates -- Triage During Market Volatility
We have updated our 16-page equity and dividend reports for a number of high-profile companies in our coverage universe through the course of this market swoon and have provided a table summarizing the new fair value estimates, Dividend Cushion ratios, and other key metrics following the updates for your convenience. Jan 9, 2019
We Still Like PayPal
Image shown: PayPal has absolutely trounced the market since we retained it in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio after its split from eBay. Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea PayPal has trounced the market by more than 100 percentage points since it split from eBay in July 2015. We continue to like shares.
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