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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Apr 23, 2025
Philip Morris Hits Record High!
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to all of 2025, Philip Morris’ net revenue growth is targeted around 6-8% on an organic basis, with organic operating income growth to be between 10.5%-12.5%. The tobacco giant expects reported diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.01-$7.14, with adjusted diluted earnings per share targeted at $7.36-$7.49 (up 12%-14%) and adjusted diluted earnings per share, excluding currency, expected to be between $7.26-$7.39 (up 10.5%-12.5%). 2025 operating cash flow is targeted to be more than $11 billion at prevailing exchange rates, with capital expenditures of around $1.5 billion, which includes further investments in ZYN capacity in the U.S. We're huge fans of Philip Morris' stock.
Apr 23, 2025
Tesla’s Revenue Falls in First Quarter, Pulls 2025 Outlook
Image Source: Tesla. Tesla’s non-GAAP net income attributable to common shareholders dropped 39% in the first quarter, while non-GAAP earnings per share fell 40%. Net cash provided by operating activities increased to $2.2 billion in the first quarter, while capital expenditures fell 46%, to $1.5 billion, resulting in free cash flow of $664 million in the period. Tesla’s cash and investments balance increased $0.4 billion at the end of the quarter, to $37 billion. Due to “the impacts of shifting global trade policy on the automotive and energy supply chains,” management pulled its 2025 guidance, noting that it will revisit it in its second quarter update. CEO Elon Musk said that his DOGE work is mostly done and beginning in May, his time allocated to DOGE will drop significantly. We like Tesla, but don’t include it in any newsletter portfolio.
Apr 22, 2025
Verizon’s Dividend Is Nice But Its Debt Keeps Us on the Sidelines
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to 2025, Verizon expects total wireless service revenue growth between 2-2.8%, while adjusted EBITDA growth is targeted in the range of 2-3.5%, with adjusted earnings per share growth of 0-3%. Cash flow from operations is expected in the range of $35-$37 billion with capital spending expected in the range of $17.5-$18.5 billion, resulting in free cash flow of $17.5-$18.5 billion. Verizon ended the first quarter with total unsecured debt of $117.3 billion, compared to $117.9 billion on a sequential basis. Though Verizon has an attractive dividend yield of 6.3%, we continue to remain on the sidelines due to its enormous debt load.
Apr 22, 2025
Lockheed Martin Reaffirms 2025 Outlook
Image: Lockheed Martin’s shares have been on a wild ride the past few years. During the first quarter, Lockheed paid cash dividends of $796 million while it repurchased 1.7 million shares for $750 million. Looking to all of 2025, management expects sales in the range of $73.75-$74.75 billion, business segment operating profit of $8.1-$8.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $27.00-$27.30. For 2025, cash flow from operations is targeted at $8.5-$8.7 billion with capital spending expected at $1.9 billion, resulting in free cash flow in the range of $6.6-$6.8 billion for the year. We continue to like Lockheed Martin as a core idea in the simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Shares yield 2.9% at the time of this writing.
Apr 22, 2025
Netflix’s Operating Margin Continues to Delight
Image: Netflix has a long runway of growth given market share opportunities. Looking to the second quarter, Netflix expects revenue growth of 15.4% (17% on a foreign exchange neutral basis) as the company benefits from recent price changes and ongoing strength in membership and advertising sales. The company expects an operating margin of 33.3% in the quarter, roughly 6 percentage points better on a year-over-year basis. Netflix continues to expect 2025 revenue in the range of $43.5-$44.5 billion and an operating margin of 29% based on foreign exchange rate levels at the start of the year. We like Netflx’s market share growth opportunities and view shares as relatively immune to tariff pressures and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Our fair value estimate stands at $1,060 per share.
Apr 17, 2025
Key Comments from the Banks This Earnings Season
Image: The big banks have done well recently. Let's read through key comments from banking executives this earnings season.
Apr 17, 2025
UnitedHealth Group Lowers 2025 Outlook
Image: UnitedHealth’s shares were pummeled after it lowered its 2025 earnings outlook. During the first quarter of 2025, UnitedHealth Group’s cash flow from operations came in at $5.5 billion, and the firm returned nearly $5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter. As it relates to the drivers negatively impacting its 2025 guidance, management noted that it “believes these factors to be highly addressable over the course of this year as well as it looks ahead to 2026.” Though we didn’t like the downward revision to its 2025 earnings outlook, UnitedHealth remains a cash cow, and we continue to like shares in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. We value shares north of $600 each.
Mar 31, 2025
Lululemon Continues to Execute on Its Growth Strategy
Image Source: TradingView. Lululemon ended 2024 with $2.0 billion in cash and cash equivalents, while inventories increased by 9%, to $1.4 billion at the end of the year. For 2025, Lululemon expects net revenue in the range of $11.15-$11.3 billion, representing growth of 5%-7%, or 7%-8%, excluding the 53rd week of 2024. Diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $14.95-$15.15 for the year, assuming a tax rate of approximately 30%. The company continues to execute on its Power of Three x2 growth plan calling for the doubling of the business from 2021 net revenue of $6.25 billion to $12.5 billion by 2026.
Mar 31, 2025
Adobe’s Outlook Falls Short of Expectations
Image Source: TradingView. Adobe’s Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) were $19.69 billion exiting the fiscal first quarter, with current RPO at 67%. Looking to Adobe’s fiscal year 2025 targets, total revenue is expected to be between $23.3-$23.55 billion, the midpoint below the consensus forecast of $23.51 billion. Digital Media segment revenue is targeted to be between $17.25-$17.4 billion, while Digital Experience segment revenue is targeted at $5.8-$5.9 billion. On a non-GAAP basis, earnings per share is expected to be between $20.20-$20.50, the midpoint below the consensus forecast of $20.39.
Mar 31, 2025
FedEx Lowers Outlook Again
Image: TradingView. For 2025, FedEx now expects revenue to be flat to slightly down year-over-year, compared to its prior forecast of approximately flat. Diluted earnings per share is targeted at $15.15 to $15.75 before mark to market retirement plans accounting adjustments compared to the prior forecast of $16.45-$17.45. Excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, international regulatory and legacy FedEx Ground legal matters, and the planned spinoff of FedEx Freight, it is targeting diluted earnings per share in the range of $18.00-$18.60 from $19.00-$20.00 previously.


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