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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jan 14, 2019
Value Trap, More Volatility; We're Waiting and Watching
Image shown: The decision to remove GE from the simulated newsletter portfolios when we did may have been our best call yet. In this note, let's talk about the importance of reading Value Trap, learn why we've gone "fully invested," talk a little bit about put options, learn some of the intricacies of the Valuentum process, find out where to find VBI rankings to download and sort, and talk about some of our recently-highlighted ideas in the simulated newsletter portfolios. No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios.
Jan 14, 2019
Occidental Petroleum: Flexible Capital Allocation Strategies
Image Source: Occidental Petroleum Corporation.  Occidental Petroleum laid out a plan to generate positive free cash flow at various price points in 2019, and management has shown a willingness to adjust spending levels in the past. Let’s dig into the framework Occidental has established for how it can adjust effectively to changes in raw energy resource prices.
Jan 11, 2019
SMART Global Holdings’ Headwinds Highlight Potential Gross Margin Pressure in Memory
Image source: SMART Global investor presentation. Shares of data and storage firm SMART Global dropped precipitously following its fiscal 2019 first quarter report. A change in Brazil’s local content rules and higher levels of seasonality have impacted its top-line and gross margin expectations and reduced visibility in its business. Potentially volatile gross margin performance is a key risk of the memory space.
Jan 9, 2019
Catching the Bottom?
Image shown: The depths of how far the S&P 500 (SPY) has fallen more recently, and the timing of the decision to move to being "fully invested" in simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios. This article was sent to members via email January 9.
Jan 3, 2019
Fully-Invested? Why? Thoughts on Microsoft and Eli Lilly, and Celgene
Our methodology is really easy to understand once you get to know the things we’re looking at. There’s also some subjectivity in how we implement our thoughts in the simulated newsletter portfolios, and please stop calling what we do advice. We’re a financial publisher. While we’re at it, let’s talk a bit about Microsoft, Eli Lilly, and Celgene through the lens of our methodology.
Jan 3, 2019
Brace for More Volatility
Image shown: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since August of last year. The markets have broken through key support levels, and now support has become resistance. Volatility remains heightened since the low-vol ETN blew up in February.This article is the introduction to both the Dividend Growth Newsletter and High Yield Dividend Newsletter, both of which will be released today due to the holiday January 1.
Dec 28, 2018
The Price-versus-Estimated Fair Value Perspective; Upcoming Publishing Schedule
Brian Nelson reflects on the price-to-estimated fair value perspective that helps drive the Valuentum process and updates members on our upcoming publishing schedule. This article was sent to members via email December 28.
Dec 26, 2018
Shale and LNG Drive Upstream Production at Chevron
Image Source: Author's Calculations, Chevron Investor Relations. From 2010 to 2017, Chevron’s oil and gas production dropped as output from new producing properties was more than offset by declines at mature fields. By leveraging the company’s extensive unconventional growth runway, management appears to have been able to fix a key structural problem. The revival in Chevron’s upstream production was aided by the completion of two major LNG developments in Australia that offer near-term upside.
Dec 19, 2018
Oracle Raises Internal Guidance; Share Buybacks Abound
Image Source: May Wong. Oracle’s fiscal 2019 second quarter report revealed expectations for accelerating top-line growth thanks in large part to strong momentum in bookings. The company’s technology leadership may be greater than ever before, and it continues to generate robust free cash flow. Management’s appetite for buybacks appears insatiable.
Dec 14, 2018
Repub: Johnson & Johnson’s Litigation Risk Manageable
Image Source: Austin Kirk. Let’s talk about how to think about the impact of one-time events on intrinsic value estimates. The magnitude of damages against J&J with respect to its talcum-powder products could be large, but we think the market has slowly factored in the risk of legal liabilities. Once J&J puts these troubles behind it, we think the market may once again warm up to the equity. Shares are trading at only a modest discount to our intrinsic value estimate, however.


The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.