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Sep 6, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of September 6
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Sep 5, 2024
Casey’s General Stores Is Executing Well
Image: Shares of Casey’s General Stores have done quite well since the beginning of 2022. Looking to fiscal 2025, Casey’s continues to expect EBITDA to advance at least 8%, with inside same-store sales to increase 3%-5% and inside gross margin comparable to fiscal 2024. Same-store fuel gallons sold are expected to be between negative 1% and positive 1%. We liked Casey’s fiscal first quarter results, and while the name doesn’t make the cut for any newsletter portfolio, it’s one that we are watching closely. Sep 4, 2024
Dollar General's Business Model Challenged By Walmart’s Strength
Image: Dollar General’s shares have been under considerable pressure the past couple years. Dollar General cut its outlook for fiscal 2024. Net sales growth is now expected in the range of 4.7%-5.3% compared to its previous expectation of 6%-6.7%. Same store sales growth is now anticipated in the range of 1%-1.6%, compared to previous expectations of 2%-2.7%. Diluted earnings per share are now targeted in the range of $5.50-$6.20, compared to prior expectations of $6.80-$7.55. Shares of Dollar General plummeted on the news, and we see no reason to jump into the name, particularly given the competitive market environment, with Walmart likely gaining share. Sep 4, 2024
Dick’s Sporting Goods Beats Second Quarter Numbers, Raises 2024 Outlook
Image: Dick’s Sporting Goods has performed nicely since the beginning of 2022. Looking to all of 2024, Dick’s Sporting Goods’ earnings per share is targeted in the range of $13.55-$13.90, up from $13.35-$13.75 per share previously, while net sales are expected in the range of $13.1-$13.2 billion (unchanged from last quarter), on comparable sales growth of 2.5%-3.5%, up from 2%-3% previously. We like Dick’s Sporting Goods’ quarter, and we’re fans of its raised outlook. The firm remains a holding in the portfolio of the Dividend Growth Newsletter. Sep 3, 2024
Campbell Soup’s Sovos Acquisition Helps Power Fiscal Fourth Quarter Results
Image Source: Campbell Soup. Looking to fiscal 2025, Campbell’s net sales are expected to expand 9%-11% thanks to a twelve-month contribution of Sovos Brands, offset in part by the divestiture of Pop Secret. Organic net sales are expected to be flat to up 2%, which reflects positive volume/mix compared to last year. Adjusted EBIT growth is targeted at 9%-11%, including Sovos and the impact of the divestiture of Pop Secret. Adjusted earnings per share growth is expected in the range of 1%-4%, inclusive of Sovos acquisition and Pop Secret divestiture, to $3.12-$3.22 (versus $3.23 consensus). Aug 30, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of August 30
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Aug 28, 2024
Nvidia Beats Second Quarter Estimates
Image: Nvidia’s shares have been on a tear the past year. On the heels of the strong second quarter fiscal 2025 report, Nvidia approved an additional $50 billion in share buybacks in addition to the $7.5 billion it still has remaining under its share repurchase authorization. Looking out to the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Nvidia expects revenue to be $32.5 billion, plus or minus 2%, while GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 74.4% and 75%, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points. For the full year, management expects gross margins to be in the mid-70% range, which is a very healthy level of profitability. Our fair value estimate stands at $125 per share. Aug 28, 2024
The Difference Between Speculation and Investment
In this edited video transcript, Brian Nelson, President of Investment Research at Valuentum, discusses the difference between speculation and investment. Aug 28, 2024
Foot Locker Burns Through Cash During First Half of Full Year 2024
Image: Foot Locker’s shares have been quite volatile the past couple years. Foot Locker reaffirmed its full-year 2024 non-GAAP earnings per share outlook of $1.50-$1.70 per share. For full year 2024, it also reiterated its sales guidance of -1% to 1% growth and comparable sales growth in the range of 1%-3%. For the twenty-six weeks ended August 3, 2024, cash flow from operations was $126 million, while capital spending was $132 million, resulting in a cash burn. Though Foot Locker has returned to top line growth, we’re not at all interested in shares given its cash-flow performance.
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Image: Oracle’s shares have performed quite well during the past couple years. Oracle remains a key idea in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as well as the ESG Newsletter portfolio, and its fiscal first quarter results support our bullish take on the name. Though Oracle has a rather large net debt position, free cash flow remains robust, while the company capitalizes on its total remaining performance obligations, which advanced 53% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis. We liked the commentary about revenue growth to accelerate throughout fiscal year 2025, and we point to the high end of our fair value estimate range ($178 per share) for shares.