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Jun 5, 2018
Evercore Partners (EVR) - Fair Value Estimate: ~$130 Per Share; Dividend Cushion Ratio: 4.9
Image shown: The share-price performance of Evercore Partners since July 2017.Evercore’s financial performance in recent years has been impressive as its net revenues have grown at an 18% CAGR since 2011, adjusted earnings per share have advanced at a 22% CAGR, and operating margins have expanded by more than 6 percentage points. The company is working to sustain operating margins of 25%+ in solid M&A markets, which it anticipates will continue in the near term. We currently value shares at ~$130 each. Evercore currently registers an impressive Dividend Cushion ratio of 4.9. Shares yield ~1.8%. Jun 4, 2018
Solar Not So Hot
Image Source: zak zak. Though First Solar stands alone as one of the stronger players in the solar space, we think the industry backdrop is among the weakest in our coverage universe. We’re huge fans of clean renewable energy but separating what we want to be a good industry like solar from an industry that actually has strong structural characteristics is a key component of being a good investor. Oftentimes, it is better to own an average company in a great industry than a good company in one of the worst industries out there. Jun 4, 2018
RE: Energy Transfer Partners: Why You Shouldn’t Worry, DEC 19, 2015
Image shown: The performance of Energy Transfer Partners (ETP) since we warned about the MLP space in mid-2015. We’ll never truly know the damage that has been caused by articles written in this spirit across the web, some articles we may not even know about. We thought it appropriate to clarify things in this response, and we’re going to continue to take the high road with everything we do. We hope you appreciate that and find tremendous value in the independent insight that our team of analysts provide. Jun 1, 2018
Microsoft Now $100+ Per Share
Almost every dividend-related presentation we made around the country, we talked about how much we liked Microsoft as a dividend growth idea. The stock was originally added to the simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio at inception at ~$26 per share, and we started the company out as an 8% position! It means the world to us to let you know that Microsoft’s stock has now surpassed $100 per share! Seriously – could we possibly have done any better with our top dividend growth idea out of the gates? Jun 1, 2018
The Free Cash Flow Shortfall in the Master Limited Partnership Space
With the recent acceleration of master limited partnership simplification transactions, we find it appropriate to revisit the internally-generated cash flow shortfall present throughout much of the space. The table provides a breakdown of traditional free cash flow (cash from operating activities less all capital spending) relative to distributions paid, as well as a measure of the elevated financial leverage often found within the group. Jun 1, 2018
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 1
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. May 31, 2018
General Motors Pops on SoftBank Deal; Dollar General Drops on Weak Customer Traffic
We continue to believe that General Motors is one of the most attractively priced equity considerations in the market today, on the basis of its dividend yield and price-to-earnings ratio. Though Dollar General’s first-quarter results weren’t up to par, we continue to like the discount retailer. Dollar General may be more resilient than other retailers in the face of e-commerce competition and under a scenario where the economy may head south. May 30, 2018
Strong Backdrop Driving Homebuilders’ Top Lines But Rising Costs Making Presence Known
Image Source: Montgomery County Planning Commission. Homebuilding stocks have experienced volatility following recent earnings reports from major companies in the industry. The economic backdrop for the group has translated into robust top-line growth, but cost increases have called into question the group’s ability to turn that growth into bottom-line gains, at least for some operators. May 28, 2018
Uncertainty of Italy’s Political Future Weighing on Global Investors' Minds
Image shown: Duomo di Milano. Italy holds ~$2.7 trillion in public debt, and global investors are worried that a new government could implement policies that would weaken the country’s credit status. Though a sovereign debt crisis does not seem probable at this point, bond markets are suggesting that risks are rising. May 25, 2018
CVS Health Story Unchanged; Still Okay with Its Removal
Image Source: Mike Mozart. CVS Health continues to face long-term threats to its business, and relatively weak near-term performance expectations have done little to inspire confidence. The company’s long-term debt load has exploded as it prepares to acquire Aetna, and we don’t expect the company to bounce back onto our radar given the materially increased financial leverage amidst other challenges.
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