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Latest Valuentum Commentary

Aug 17, 2018
ICYMI -- Podcast: 2nd Annual Nelson Exclusive Yearly Round Up Call
President of Investment Research at Valuentum Brian Nelson talks the markets, valuations, the economy, the consumer and various other trends from crude oil to cryptocurrency to geopolitical risks to corporate tax reform and beyond. Running time ~25 minutes.
Jun 27, 2018
Roche Continues to Underwhelm
We like cutting-edge, novel therapies as they have a transformative impact on a small to mid-cap biotech as years of revenue growth could be in the cards. While new therapies are the life-blood of the research field, the impact of a new novel therapy on the growth prospects of a large cap is often muted, however. Such is the fate of Roche as it struggles to replace its mainstay oncology division with new patent-protected entities.
Jun 19, 2018
Trade Worries Back on the Table
Image Source: Michael Vadon. We think investors shouldn’t overreact, but we didn’t have two world wars in the last century because leaders of superpowers “got along” nicely.
Jun 1, 2018
Microsoft Now $100+ Per Share
Almost every dividend-related presentation we made around the country, we talked about how much we liked Microsoft as a dividend growth idea. The stock was originally added to the simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio at inception at ~$26 per share, and we started the company out as an 8% position! It means the world to us to let you know that Microsoft’s stock has now surpassed $100 per share! Seriously – could we possibly have done any better with our top dividend growth idea out of the gates?
May 28, 2018
Uncertainty of Italy’s Political Future Weighing on Global Investors' Minds
Image shown: Duomo di Milano. Italy holds ~$2.7 trillion in public debt, and global investors are worried that a new government could implement policies that would weaken the country’s credit status. Though a sovereign debt crisis does not seem probable at this point, bond markets are suggesting that risks are rising.
Apr 26, 2018
What’s Working (or NOT Working) in Today’s Market?
Image shown: Crude oil continues to lead gainers while consumer staples, REITs, and energy MLPs continue to get shellacked. Let’s take a look at what’s been working and what’s not been working in the market thus far in 2018. To little surprise, in our opinion, commodity prices have been the leaders, while interest-rate sensitive equities have been the laggards. We’ve been expecting this.
Apr 25, 2018
We Said Consumer Staples Would Underperform
The consumer staples sector has been pummeled by a number of factors, from long-term concerns about the adoption of new products in the tobacco industry to pressures on gross margins for branded consumables and generally underperforming free cash flows in the tried-and-true beverage arena. We still like the business models of many constituents, but you knew this was coming.
Apr 2, 2018
Michael Kors – The Latest 9 or 10 on the Valuentum Buying Index
Image shown: The performance of Michael Kors relative to the stock market since it registered a 9 on the Valuentum Buying Index. Is it any surprise that the markets seem to be struggling at current levels? The Valuentum Buying Index registered its latest 9 or 10 with Michael Kors in August 2017. While that stock has surged, the market has floundered. It’s so important to be patient for ideas. Anyone can create ideas. Not everyone can create good ideas, and that’s the difference. You don’t want to miss the next highly-rated stock on the VBI!
Feb 21, 2018
Market Valuations Not “Insane” But Certainly Not Cheap Either
The stock market is not insanely overpriced, but it is certainly not cheap either. We’re watching the technicals and moves in the 10-year Treasury closely for signs of where the market may go next. We discuss Walmart’s recent disappointment and add another to the list of companies that the Dividend Cushion ratio effectively highlighted the heightened income risk profile of, prior to the dividend cut. Chipotle is on the move!
Feb 15, 2018
Cisco Rallies Big Time!
Image shown: Performance of the S&P 500 (SPY) since August 2017. As US equities continue their newly-found volatility, let’s take a look at some recent earnings reports and other developments around the markets. Cisco, the workhorse of both simulated newsletter portfolios, put up a fantastic report and upped its dividend. Berkshire continues to love Apple, and we maintain the view that the 10-year Treasury rate may be the greatest determinant of how well stocks perform in the coming decades. Airlines, garbage stocks, the “gas tax,” and more.

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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.