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Latest Valuentum Commentary

Nov 26, 2017
How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already.
Oct 12, 2017
An Overview on Valuing Junior Biotech Companies -- Does Clovis Fit the Bill?
The biotech industry remains one of the most fascinating yet perplexing industries for investors. Anecdotes of the entry-stage biotech with a home-run new therapy are often romanticized, but the reality is the vast majority of molecules fail in various stages of clinical testing.  Due to the boom-bust nature of the industry, many are wary of investing in the space, and traditional valuation metrics are not as useful due to a large number of such speculative entities being in the pre-revenue stage. With this in mind, let’s take a glimpse into our thought process when evaluating upstart biotech companies.
Sep 22, 2017
Best in Biotech? Global Blood Therapeutics' Promising Treatment for Sickle Cell Anemia
Image Source: National Institute for Health. We remain impressed with the depth of research conducted over a wide host of disease states. Though a molecule may appear to hold significant promise in the pre-clinical phase, we have often witnessed the unique ability of the human body to react to various treatments. Often an unwanted side effect can torpedo a treatment, thus relegating millions of dollars of research obsolete. However, if a promising molecule is brought to market, the payoff is often well worth the effort. Our goal is to sift through the various clinical data to unearth the most promising treatments with the understanding that nothing is assured until the FDA authorizes the product for marketing in the US. We believe we have identified a promising junior biotech in the rare drug field with a promising treatment for sickle-cell anemia.
Aug 7, 2017
Bioverativ: A Profitable Rare Drug Company
Image Source: Bioverativ. The biotech sector remains one of the most innovative segments of the overall market. Cutting-edge research is being conducted to help treat a wide swath of disease states with the potential for outsize rewards if the novel treatment is proven effective. The boom-bust nature of clinical research has lead to numerous spectacular flameouts, which lessen the appeal of the sector to the more risk-averse investor. We have identified a promising newly-formed company with real earnings, and one that may be poised to accelerate earnings now that a promising new rare-disease molecule has been brought into the fold.
Jul 12, 2017
Analyzing the S&P SPDR Biotech ETF
Source: S&P SPDR Biotech ETF (XBI). ETFs are rapidly becoming the preferred investment vehicle to gain broad exposure to a particular sector. The biotech industry is no different with two distinct ETFs dominating the niche. The article discusses the unique characteristics of the SPDR Biotech ETF to determine the merits of the idea.
May 26, 2017
Alexion’s Executive Departures and an Update from Regeneron Pharma
Image shown above: Performance of Regeneron since the summer of 2013.An executive scandal continues to mar the performance of Alexion Pharmaceuticals. The CFO has resigned his position effective the end of August, but there is more to this story. Let’s also talk Regeneron.
May 4, 2017
Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More
Valuentum's President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing.
Apr 17, 2017
Which Mid-Stage Biotech Can Grow Into the Next Large Cap Biotech Behemoth?
Image Source: Steven Depolo. The biotech field is on the cutting edge of scientific research. The production of new therapies often positively affects the share price of these innovative companies as long-term revenue and earnings expectations become embedded in the stock price. Let’s take a look at several mid-stage biotechs that may grow into dominant players.
Apr 4, 2017
Can Vertex Pharmaceuticals Dominate the Race to Treat Cystic Fibrosis?
Cystic Fibrosis is a rare disease that afflicts an estimated seventy-five thousand patients worldwide. Vertex Pharmaceuticals is the first to market with a combination treatment to treat a portion of the overall patient population. Will Vertex win the race to bring forth a triple therapy to treat the vast majority of those afflicted?
Mar 11, 2017
Celgene: A Hemeoncology Powerhouse
Let’s walk through the investment merits of one of the market darlings in biotech.


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