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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary

Apr 22, 2025
Netflix’s Operating Margin Continues to Delight
Image: Netflix has a long runway of growth given market share opportunities. Looking to the second quarter, Netflix expects revenue growth of 15.4% (17% on a foreign exchange neutral basis) as the company benefits from recent price changes and ongoing strength in membership and advertising sales. The company expects an operating margin of 33.3% in the quarter, roughly 6 percentage points better on a year-over-year basis. Netflix continues to expect 2025 revenue in the range of $43.5-$44.5 billion and an operating margin of 29% based on foreign exchange rate levels at the start of the year. We like Netflx’s market share growth opportunities and view shares as relatively immune to tariff pressures and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Our fair value estimate stands at $1,060 per share.
Apr 4, 2025
Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We're Doing
The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in the coming months.
Jan 22, 2025
Netflix Records Biggest Quarter of Net Adds in Its History
Image Source: Netflix. Looking to 2025, Netflix expects revenue to be between $43.5-$44.5 billion (12%-14% year-over-year growth), up $500 million from its prior forecast (despite foreign currency headwinds) and an operating margin of 29%, up one percentage point from its prior forecast and two percentage points higher than the 27% operating margin in 2024. Management noted that the return in 2025 of its biggest shows (Squid Game, Wednesday and Stranger Things) gives it optimism heading into the new year.
Oct 19, 2024
Netflix Continues to Deliver on Content and Engagement, Free Cash Flow Robust
Image: Netflix’s shares are trading at all-time highs. We liked Netflix’s revenue and operating income improvement in the third quarter, as well as its outlook for the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2025. Netflix is delivering with respect to content and customer engagement, and we like the fact that the firm continues to generate strong free cash flow. Netflix continues to build its advertising business, with ads membership up 35% on a sequential basis. Looking to the fourth quarter, Netflix has a nice slate of content, including Squid Game S2, the Jake Paul/Mike Tyson fight, and two NFL games on Christmas day, which Netflix expects to drive paid net additions higher in the quarter than in its most recently reported third quarter. The high end of our fair value estimate range for Netflix is $867 per share.
Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios.
Aug 28, 2024
The Difference Between Speculation and Investment
In this edited video transcript, Brian Nelson, President of Investment Research at Valuentum, discusses the difference between speculation and investment.
Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.
Jul 19, 2024
Netflix Still Has a Long Runway of Growth Ahead of It
Image Source: Netflix. Netflix reported solid second quarter results and raised its forward-looking guidance for the full year 2024. The company is winning the streaming wars and has a long runway of future membership growth given the 80% of TV time it and Youtube don’t already own. Its nascent ads business continues to gain traction, too. Netflix still expects to haul in free cash flow of $6 billion in 2024, as it continues to buy back stock. The company ended the quarter with $14 billion in gross debt versus cash and cash equivalents of $6.7 billion. We think Netflix is performing well, but we're already quite tech heavy in the newsletter portfolios and won't be adding shares to any portfolio at this time.
Jun 25, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.
Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.


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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.