Latest Valuentum Commentary
Mar 12, 2018
The "Luck" and "Randomness" of Index Funds
If the year-to-year performance of active funds relative to index funds can be considered “random,” so then is the year-to-year performance of index funds relative to active funds, regardless of fees and expenses. Image shown: page 1 of 14.
Dec 19, 2017
Video: Quants! You're NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson's Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.
Dec 11, 2017
Video: Nelson's Active Management Theorem, Poker and "High Society," Inertia and the Value-Growth Conundrum
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson details his simple new theorem of the stock market that may change everything you believe. Nelson explains using poker as an example, and he goes on to caution about the concept of inertia, and how investing has somehow transformed into a "game" -- if investors truly believe there are 'value' and 'growth' stocks. A must-watch intrigue. Running time: ~11 minutes.
Dec 2, 2017
Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Robert Shiller On Indexing
Video: Robert Shiller on what worries him about passive investing -- from CNBC.
Nov 26, 2017
How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already.
Nov 17, 2017
Our Reports on Stocks in the Household Products Industry
Our reports on stocks in the Household Products industry can be found in this article. Reports include CHD, CL, CLX, ENR, KMB, HELE, JNJ, LBY, PG.
Oct 23, 2017
Earnings Roundup: Unilever, Procter & Gamble, Kimberly-Clark
We love the business models of consumer staples, but recent fundamental performance hasn’t been great, and valuations are a bit stretched. Unilever is blaming natural disasters in the US for its underlying sales growth shortfalls, Procter & Gamble has to deliver now that it defeated Nelson Peltz, and Kimberly-Clark’s meager top-line expansion may not support its valuation. A good business does not always make a good stock.
Sep 8, 2017
The Wisdom of Oaktree's Howard Marks
Image Source: emmolos. The latest memo from Oaktree's Howard Marks here should be read and then read again. The section on passive investing is an absolute treasure. "Passive investing is done in vehicles that make no judgments about the soundness of companies and the fairness of prices. More than $1 billion is flowing daily to “passive managers” (there’s an oxymoron for you) who buy regardless of price. I’ve always viewed index funds as “freeloaders” who make use of the consensus decisions of active investors for free. How comfortable can investors be these days, now that fewer and fewer active decisions are being made?" -- Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital
Sep 7, 2017
Adviser Fees on Indexed Assets Can Eat Up Your Nest Egg?
Indexing sounds like an easy way to track the market's performance, but if your indexed assets are held in financial advisors' accounts, it can come with a big cost: significant underperformance. Over 20 years, we estimate in this hypothetical example that the cumulative cost as a result of a 1% annual financial advisor fee on indexed assets can amount to as much as 66% of a saver's initial investment -- just for holding an index fund. Please be careful out there!
Aug 16, 2017
Resetting Your Mental Model
Image Source: affen ajlfe. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing.
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