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Latest Valuentum Commentary

Aug 28, 2018
ETF Analysis: Energy
Energy sector ETFs offer a diversified way to capture the potential for higher crude oil prices without being exposed to the capital budget decisions of any one operator.
May 17, 2018
Master Limited Partnership Simplifications on the Rise
With the announcement of three separate master limited partnership simplification transactions on May 17 alone, we must revisit our thesis that the business structure may not be in it for the long haul.
Nov 30, 2017
Charting Cash Flow and Net Debt -- The Oil Majors
Image Source: Valuentum. Traditional free cash flow generation has been strong for the oil majors through the first nine months of the year, but their balance sheets remain bloated with net debt. A few haven't covered their cash dividends with free cash flow generation through the first nine months of 2017.
Feb 23, 2016
Recent Add Cracker Barrel Surges Ahead; BHP Cuts
We liked what we heard in Cracker Barrel’s outlook, and the Dividend Cushion ratio again comes up big in warning about BHP’s dividend cut.
Jan 24, 2016
General Electric’s Results Remain “Messy”
General Electric will soon be a fraction of its former self, and while we like the refocus, its portfolio transformation has muddied its financials to an unprecedented degree.
Jun 18, 2015
5 More Reasons Why We Think Kinder Morgan’s Shares Will Collapse
“...the credit rating agencies have a lot to think about. Kinder Morgan’s investment-grade credit rating is in part supported by the firm’s ability to access the equity markets to sell its own stock. But its share price is artificially propped up by the incorrect application of dividend discount models that are using financially-engineered dividends, which themselves are in part supported by the debt raised from an investment-grade credit rating, which is then used to keep raising debt and growing the dividend…and so on."
Jun 11, 2015
5 Reasons Why We Think Kinder Morgan’s Shares Will Collapse
Let's walk through a handful of reasons why the company’s shares may very well collapse.
Jan 23, 2015
3 Reasons Why We Like Kinder Morgan
Valuentum's Brian Nelson discusses three reasons why Kinder Morgan is included in the Dividend Growth portfolio.
Nov 29, 2014
$45 Oil Prices!?!? There Is Never a Sense of Urgency When One Is Prepared
Friday brought mass selling across the energy sector. In our view, crude oil prices could hit $45 per barrel in the next few years before recovering.
Oct 10, 2014
The Correction: Draghi; Chip, Telecom Warnings; Oil and MLPs
“Without reform, there can be no recovery.” – European Central Bank President Mario Draghi

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