Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Jul 27, 2023

“Bought” Low and “Sold” Low with Meta
Image: Shares of Meta Platforms have been on a wild ride the past few years. We didn’t do well with the stock, unfortunately. Let the good times roll in big cap tech and large cap growth! What a fantastic year 2023 is turning out to be and thank you for sticking with us. If Meta serves as any example for you, it should be that you shouldn’t expect us to get everything "right," but it should be very, very clear that we’ve gotten far more things “right” than we’ve gotten “wrong” over the years. Cheers!

Feb 27, 2023

Our Reports on Stocks in the Oil and Gas Complex Industry
Our reports on stocks in the Oil and Gas Complex industry can be found in this article. Reports include BKR, HAL, SLB, BP, CVX, COP, XOM, SHEL, TTE, CTRA, EOG, OXY, PXD, ENB, ET, EPD, MMP, KMI, PSX.

Jan 12, 2023

Taiwan Semiconductor’s Shares May Have Bottomed
Image: We’re liking the technical bottom forming in Taiwan Semiconductor’s shares. Image Source: TradingView. Everyone has their eyes on Taiwan Semiconductor these days. The firm is the center of attention with respect to Sino-American relations, and the risk that China may invade Taiwan has added a degree of uncertainty to shares that is almost impossible to quantify within general valuation frameworks. Headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan, the world’s largest pure-play semiconductor foundry is a key bellwether for an area within technology that has faced considerable pressure during the past year. However, from our perspective, shares of Taiwan Semiconductor look to have carved out what we believe to be a technical bottom, and the high end of our fair value estimate range of $90 speaks to more upside potential.

Jan 10, 2023

Dow Laggard Walgreens Boots Alliance Yields North of 5%; Has Raised Dividend for 47 Consecutive Years
Image: Walgreens Boots Alliance’s shares have been pummeled during 2022. Image Source: TradingView. Key metrics, including free cash flow and adjusted earnings per share, aren’t presently moving in the right direction at Walgreens Boots Alliance, but free cash flow generation remains in excess of cash dividends paid. The company, and its predecessor firm, Walgreen Co., have paid 360 straight quarters of dividends over the past 90 years, too, raising the payout in each of the past 47 years. It’s absolutely amazing for a company to have such a storied history and reliable dividend track record, but it’s also worth emphasizing Walgreens Alliance Boots is far from a simple story these days. Still, with a 5%+ forward estimated dividend yield, this component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average is worth a close look.

Dec 2, 2022

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 2
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Oct 27, 2022

VBI Ratings Not as Impressive As We Would Have Liked in 2022
Image: How the VBI rating system has ranked equities so far this year. At Valuentum, we use the Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) to source ideas into diversified simulated newsletter portfolios, and the VBI may be most applicable to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we generally like to include ideas when they register a high VBI rating and remove them when they register a low VBI rating. We always use the VBI in a portfolio setting and never by itself. Let's talk more about the VBI rating system in this work.

Aug 8, 2022

Exxon Mobil Surging Higher with Room for Upside
Image Shown: Exxon Mobil Corporation put up stellar results when reporting its second quarter earnings in late July 2022. Image Source: Exxon Mobil Corporation – Second Quarter of 2022 IR Earnings Presentation. Exxon Mobil Corp posted second quarter 2022 earnings that flew past consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. The tailwind provided by elevated raw energy resources prices, rising oil & gas production volumes, ongoing cost structure improvement initiatives, and strong “crack spreads” (refining margins) more than offset headwinds arising from its decision to exit Russia in March 2022 and foreign currency headwinds due to a strong U.S. dollar. Exxon Mobil is one of our favorite energy ideas, and we include shares of XOM in several of the newsletter portfolios as it offers investors a nice combination of dividend growth and capital appreciation upside potential. Shares of XOM yield ~3.6% as of this writing, and our fair value estimate sits at $105 per share of Exxon Mobil.

May 25, 2022

Newsletter Portfolio Idea Chevron Focused on Returning Cash to Shareholders
Image Shown: Newsletter portfolio idea Chevron Corporation is very shareholder friendly. We view its capital allocation priorities quite favorably. Image Source: Chevron Corporation – May 2022 IR Presentation. Our newsletter portfolios remain overweight energy names as these companies are well-positioned to ride out inflationary pressures and geopolitical turbulence while generating substantial free cash flows and returning “gobs” of cash to shareholders. We include Chevron Corp in the Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, and High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolios as the firm has placed a great emphasis on keeping its capital expenditures contained, improving its cost structure, and cutting down on its debt load while returning “gobs” of cash to shareholders.

May 20, 2022

Shares of Newsletter Portfolio Idea Exxon Mobil Are Booming Higher!
Image Source: Newsletter portfolio idea Exxon Mobil Corporation has seen its share price boom higher over the past year. We see room for additional capital appreciation upside potential going forward. Shares of Exxon Mobil Corp have boomed higher over the past year, and we see room for additional capital appreciation upside potential. Our fair value estimate for Exxon Mobil sits at $87 per share, though in the current raw energy resources pricing environment, the top end of our fair value estimate range (which sits at $115 per share) may prove to be a more pertinent gauge of Exxon Mobil’s intrinsic value. We are huge fans of the energy major and include Exxon Mobil in the Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, and High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolios. Shares of XOM yield a nice ~3.9% as of this writing, and its dividend growth outlook is quite bright in the current environment.

Mar 30, 2022

Exxon Mobil Is Working on Boosting U.S. LNG Export Capacity
Image Shown: Exxon Mobil Corporation is a big player in the global LNG industry. Image Source: Exxon Mobil Corporation – March 2022 Investor Day Presentation. Europe’s dependence on Russian natural gas supplies has taken centerstage in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Members of the European Union (‘EU’) receive roughly 40% of their natural gas needs from Russia. In March 2022, the US and the EU announced an agreement covering energy security that among other things encouraged greater liquified natural gas (‘LNG’) exports from the US to the EU. Such an accord would require Europe to boost its LNG regassification capacity. Let's dig into this situation.