Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Netflix Still Has a Long Runway of Growth Ahead of It
Image Source: Netflix. Netflix reported solid second quarter results and raised its forward-looking guidance for the full year 2024. The company is winning the streaming wars and has a long runway of future membership growth given the 80% of TV time it and Youtube don’t already own. Its nascent ads business continues to gain traction, too. Netflix still expects to haul in free cash flow of $6 billion in 2024, as it continues to buy back stock. The company ended the quarter with $14 billion in gross debt versus cash and cash equivalents of $6.7 billion. We think Netflix is performing well, but we're already quite tech heavy in the newsletter portfolios and won't be adding shares to any portfolio at this time.

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Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.

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Disney Expects Strong Adjusted EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow
Image: Disney’s shares have struggled, but management is working hard to get back on track. Thanks in part to the strength of its fiscal second quarter, Disney expects its adjusted earnings per share to come in at 25% growth for the full year. Management also noted that it remains on track to generate roughly $14 billion in operating cash flow and north of $8 billion in free cash flow during the fiscal year. We think Disney’s turnaround is largely already in its stock price, and we view shares as fairly valued at the time of this writing.

Netflix to Stop Reporting Membership Numbers Starting Next Year
Image: Netflix still has a lot of room for growth. From where we stand, Netflix has won the streaming wars. Nearly 270 million households across 190+ countries subscribe to its content, and with estimates that there are more than two people per household, management emphasized that it has an audience of more than a half a billion people. Netflix has further room for growth, too, as it notes that its share of TV viewing is less than 10% in every country. Management pointed to content such as the boxing match between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson, as well as live programming such as WWE Raw as a couple examples to keep audiences entertained. We like Netflix, but we can’t get comfortable adding it to any newsletter portfolio at this time.

We Remain Bullish; Is This 1995 – The Beginning of a Huge Stock Market Run?
Image: Large cap growth stocks have trounced the performance of the S&P 500, REITs, and bonds since the beginning of 2023. We expect continued outperformance in this area of the market. We’re now roughly four years past the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown, where equities collapsed in February and March of 2020. As the markets began to recover through 2020, our long-term conviction in equities only grew stronger. We think the biggest risk for long-term investors remains staying out of the market on the basis of what could be considered stretched valuation multiples. As we outlined heavily in the book Value Trap, valuation multiples hardly tell the complete story about a company and often omit key long-term earnings growth, cash flow dynamics, and balance sheet health considerations. We remain bullish on equities for the long haul, and we think the next couple years will be incredibly strong. Our best ideas can be found in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, and via the Exclusive publication as well as options idea generation.

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Earnings Roundup: PEP, DIS, ARM, PM
Image Source: Arm Holdings. Pepsi issued an outlook for 2024 that came in lower than what the Street was expecting, but we like the diversification of having a strong brand entity such as Pepsi in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Disney is working hard to get back on track, and cost-cutting efforts have significantly helped its free cash flow generation. The firm is buying back stock, too, and recently upped its semi-annual dividend payout by 50%. Arm Holdings plc surprised the market in a big way, sending shares almost 50% higher following the report. The company's lucrative royalty business model and attractive exposure to artificial intelligence has investors extremely excited. Philip Morris is targeting strong organic revenue growth in 2024 thanks in part to Zyn growth, and we like the strong foundation that its free cash flow provides in supporting its dividend.

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 9
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.