Member LoginDividend CushionValue Trap |
Valuentum
Reports
Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for
any changes.
Latest
Valuentum Commentary
Jun 5, 2025
Home Depot Expects Modest Sales Growth in 2025
Image: Home Depot’s shares have been choppy the past few years. Looking to fiscal 2025, Home Depot expects total sales growth of approximately 2.8%, with comparable store sales growth of roughly 1% compared to the same 52-week period last year. Gross margin is targeted at 33.4%, while its adjusted operating margin is expected to be 13.4% for the year. Diluted earnings per share is expected to decline approximately 3%, while adjusted diluted earnings per share is targeted to fall approximately 2%. Capital expenditures are budgeted at 2.5% of total sales. Shares yield 2.5% at the time of this writing. May 19, 2025
3 Undervalued Stocks to Consider Buying Now
All told, we think these three names are ripe for the picking. UnitedHealth Group has clearly plummeted on bad headline news, while the market is not giving Nvidia enough credit for the sustainability of its technology. Alphabet is being weighed down by antitrust issues and the concern that artificial intelligence will permanently alter its business model, which we believe will not happen anytime soon, if at all. All three ideas are included in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we include a diversified portfolio of ideas for members to consider. Happy investing! May 6, 2025
Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far
Shortly after Trump's Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500, for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends. A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if a full US/China trade agreement won't be completed in the near term, as full-scale trade deals take time to mold. Thus far, we have been impressed by earnings this season, particularly by the Magnificent 7. Apr 4, 2025
Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We're Doing
The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in the coming months. Mar 3, 2025
Home Depot Impacted By Higher Interest Rate Environment, Raises Dividend
Image: Home Depot’s shares have done well since the beginning of 2023. Home Depot expects total sales growth of roughly 2.8% for fiscal 2025, which has one less week than fiscal 2024. For fiscal 2025, comparable sales growth is targeted at approximately 1% for the comparable 52-week period. Management expects to open 13 new stores, while diluted earnings per share is expected to decline approximately 3% from $14.91 in fiscal 2024. Adjusted diluted earnings per share is targeted to decline roughly 2% from $15.24 in fiscal 2024. Home Depot announced it approved a 2.2% increase in its quarterly dividend to $2.30 per share, which equates to an annual dividend of $9.20 per share and marks the 152nd consecutive quarter the company has paid a dividend. Shares yield 2.3% at the time of this writing and remain an idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Feb 28, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 28
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Jan 14, 2025
KB Home’s Outlook for 2025 Better Than Expected
Image: KB Home’s shares have done well since the beginning of 2023. Looking to fiscal 2025, KB Home's housing revenue is expected in the range of $7.00-$7.5 billion, compared to the consensus forecast of $6.89 billion, with the average selling price in the range of $488,000-$498,000. Homebuilding operating income as a percentage of revenues is targeted at roughly 10.7%, which assumes no inventory-related charges. For the year, housing gross profit margin is targeted in the range of 20.0%-21.0% and assumes no inventory-related charges. Selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of housing revenues is expected in the range of 9.6%-10.0%. We liked KB Home’s fourth quarter results and outlook for fiscal 2025 and what they imply with respect to the health of the housing market. KB Home doesn’t make the cut for any newsletter portfolio, however. Jan 8, 2025
Lowe’s Experiences Softness in Bigger Ticket Discretionary Demand
Image: Lowe’s shares have rallied nicely since the beginning of 2023. Buoyed in part by anticipated modest storm-related demand in the fourth quarter, management expects total sales for the full year 2024 of $83.0-$83.5 billion (was $82.7-$83.2 billion)—consensus was $82.99 billion--and comparable sales to be between -3.0% to -3.5% (was -3.5% to -4.0%). Its adjusted operating margin for the year is now targeted in the range of 12.3%-12.4% (was 12.4%-12.5%), while adjusted diluted earnings per share is expected in the range of $11.80-$11.90 (was $11.70-$11.90), the midpoint above consensus of $11.81. Our fair value estimate of $242 for Lowe’s shares is roughly in-line with where the firm’s equity is trading, and while its recently raised guidance was well-received, we remain on the sidelines with respect to the company in the newsletter portfolios. Shares yield 1.9%. Dec 11, 2024
Toll Brothers Ends Strongest Year Ever
Image Source: Toll Brothers. Looking to fiscal 2025, Toll Brothers' deliveries are expected in the range of 11,200-11,600 units with an average delivered price per home of $945,000-$965,000 and adjusted home sales gross margin expected at 27.25%. The company’s pace of deliveries is expected to be strong, but the company’s gross margin isn’t as strong as we would like, facing pressure from last year’s adjusted mark. SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenue is expected in the range of 9.4%-9.5%, up from last year’s measure of 9.3%. Toll Brothers ended its fiscal fourth quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $2.7 billion in loans payable and senior notes. The company continues to return cash to shareholders in the form of buybacks and dividends. Though we don’t include Toll Brothers in any newsletter portfolio, the bellwether’s fiscal fourth quarter report indicates the housing market remains healthy. Nov 13, 2024
Home Depot Navigating Macroeconomic Uncertainty Well
Image: Home Depot’s shares are flirting with all-time highs. Looking to fiscal 2024 guidance, Home Depot expects total sales to increase 4% including SRS Distribution and the 53rd week, up from the prior forecast of 2.5%-3.5%. The 53rd week is expected to add $2.3 billion to total sales, while its SRS acquisition is expected to contribute roughly $6.4 billion in incremental sales. Comparable sales are expected to decline roughly 2.5% for the 52-week period compared to fiscal 2023 and down 3%-4% previously. Adjusted diluted earnings per share is expected to decline roughly 1% from $15.25 in fiscal 2023, including the 53rd week and better than prior expectations calling for a 1%-3% decline. Shares yield 2.2% at the time of this writing. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
|