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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary

Jan 1, 2025
FedEx Lowers Fiscal 2025 Guidance Again, Plans to Separate FedEx Freight
Image: FedEx’s shares have come roaring back since its bottom in the back half of 2022. Looking to fiscal 2025, FedEx revised its revenue and earnings forecasts lower again. Revenue is now expected to be “approximately flat” year over year compared to the prior forecast calling for a low single-digit percentage increase. Diluted earnings per share before mark-to-market retirement plans accounting adjustments is now targeted in the range of $16.45-$17.45 compared to its prior forecast of $17.90-$18.90. Also excluding costs related to its business optimization initiatives, management is targeting diluted earnings per share of $19.00-$20.00 per share, down from $20.00-$21.00 per share previously. FedEx announced it will separate FedEx Freight as a new publicly-traded company, hoping to garner a higher multiple placed on the spinoff, but we’re not interested in shares of the company or its spinoff at this time. Shares yield 2%. Our favorite ideas remain in the newsletter portfolios.
Jan 1, 2025
The Price-to-Earnings Ratio Demystified
Let's examine the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The key takeaways are: 1) without using a discounted cash-flow model, the P/E ratio that should be applied to a company's future expected earnings stream can never be appropriately calculated, and by extension, 2) when investors assign an arbitrary price-to-earnings multiple to a company’s earnings (based on historical trends or industry peers or the market multiple), they are essentially making estimates for all of the drivers behind a discounted cash-flow model in one fell swoop (and sometimes hastily). As earnings for next year are often within sight and can be estimated with some confidence (though this certainly varies among firms), calculating the price-to-earnings ratio via a discounted cash-flow process, in our opinion, is of far greater importance than worrying about whether a firm will beat or miss earnings in its next fiscal year. Because the P/E ratio is a discounted cash-flow model that considers the long-term qualitative dynamics of a particular entity, cash-flow analysis remains the first and most important pillar of our Valuentum Buying Index. And finally, investors cannot ignore valuation analysis or the future. Valuation is an important driver behind stock prices, and it is based on future expectations that can only be estimated. This is just a fact of the markets.
Sep 20, 2024
FedEx Reduces Fiscal 2025 Outlook
Image: FedEx’s shares have bounced back from the October 2022 lows, but its fiscal 2025 outlook disappointed the Street. FedEx’s revised outlook left a lot to be desired. The company now expects fiscal 2025 revenue growth to be in the low single digits, compared to a previous expectation of low-to-mid single digits. Earnings per diluted share before the mark-to-market retirement plans accounting adjustments is now expected in the range of $17.90-$18.90 versus a prior forecast of $18.25-$20.25 per share. Also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, fiscal 2025 earnings per share is targeted in the range of $20.00-$21.00 per share compared to its prior forecast of $20.00-$22.00 per share, the midpoint below consensus of $20.93 per share. Shares yield 1.8%.
Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.
Jun 26, 2024
FedEx’s Cost Initiatives Drive Strong Fiscal 2025 Guidance
Image Source: FedEx. On June 25, FedEx reported better than expected fourth quarter results for fiscal 2024. The company continues to focus on becoming more efficient, closing facilities as well as retiring inefficient aircraft. Shares yield ~2.1% at the time of this writing.
Jun 14, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 14
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.
Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.
May 17, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.
Mar 25, 2024
Fedex Bolstered By Cost Savings from Its DRIVE Program
Image: FedEx continues to extract cost savings from its DRIVE initiatives. FedEx is doing a lot of things right as it drives cost savings from its DRIVE program in the face of a challenging revenue environment. Shares of FedEx bounced nicely following the release of its fiscal third quarter report, and while they aren’t trading at bargain basement prices on the basis of our fair value estimate, we think shares could have upside to north of $300 based on the high end of our fair value estimate range. Shares yield ~1.8% at the time of this writing.
Mar 8, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.


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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.