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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary

Jan 31, 2025
Apple Reports Best Quarter Ever Despite Declining iPhone, China Sales
Image Source: TradingView. During the quarter, Apple returned to shareholders $3.9 billion in dividends and equivalents and $23.3 billion in share repurchases. Looking to the March quarter, management expects total company revenue to grow low to mid-single-digits year-over-year, with Services revenue to grow low double-digits year-over-year. It expects its gross margin to be between 46.5%-47.5%, about in line with the December quarter. We continue to be fans of Apple’s large installed base (2.35 billion active devices) and growing, high-margin Services business, and the company remains a key holding in the newsletter portfolios.
Jan 5, 2025
Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating
Image shown: An examination of the problem that might arise by focusing exclusively on companies that have economic moats, or sustainable and durable competitive advantages.Without an economic castle, an economic moat doesn’t matter. Let's examine Valuentum's Economic Castle™ rating.
Jan 1, 2025
The Price-to-Earnings Ratio Demystified
Let's examine the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The key takeaways are: 1) without using a discounted cash-flow model, the P/E ratio that should be applied to a company's future expected earnings stream can never be appropriately calculated, and by extension, 2) when investors assign an arbitrary price-to-earnings multiple to a company’s earnings (based on historical trends or industry peers or the market multiple), they are essentially making estimates for all of the drivers behind a discounted cash-flow model in one fell swoop (and sometimes hastily). As earnings for next year are often within sight and can be estimated with some confidence (though this certainly varies among firms), calculating the price-to-earnings ratio via a discounted cash-flow process, in our opinion, is of far greater importance than worrying about whether a firm will beat or miss earnings in its next fiscal year. Because the P/E ratio is a discounted cash-flow model that considers the long-term qualitative dynamics of a particular entity, cash-flow analysis remains the first and most important pillar of our Valuentum Buying Index. And finally, investors cannot ignore valuation analysis or the future. Valuation is an important driver behind stock prices, and it is based on future expectations that can only be estimated. This is just a fact of the markets.
Dec 29, 2024
How Does 37% Sound?
Image: The Schwab U.S. Large Cap Growth ETF (SCHG) is up more than 37% so far in 2024. So what’s the playbook for 2025? You can probably guess that I think large cap growth and big cap tech will continue to lead the markets to new heights. 2024 was a boring year, if a 37% return can be considered boring for large cap growth. Frankly, with the market focusing on macro data and the Fed during 2024, there wasn’t much material to write about. We all already know the story: Inflation is under control, the job market remains healthy, the Fed is cutting, and artificial intelligence will be the name of the game this decade.
Nov 4, 2024
Berkshire Hathaway’s Operating Earnings, Free Cash Flow Fall in Third Quarter
Image: Berkshire Hathaway has reduced its stake in Apple and Bank of America. Berkshire’s third quarter operating results weren’t great, and the firm noted that it expects pre-tax incurred losses from Hurricane Milton to be between $1.3-$1.5 billion and be reflected in its fourth quarter earnings. Free cash flow has faced some pressure during the first nine months of the year, and Buffett continues to cash out of Apple and Bank of America. Berkshire’s cash balance continues to swell, perhaps indicating that Buffett views the market as overheated at the moment. Total shareholders’ equity was $631.8 billion at the end of September, translating into a price-to-book ratio of 1.54. Shares of Berkshire are not cheap, in our view, but the company remains a key holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
Nov 1, 2024
Apple’s Fiscal Fourth Quarter Report Shows Strength
Image: Apple’s shares continue to flirt with all-time highs. Apple ended the quarter with $157.7 billion of cash and marketable securities. Total debt totaled $106.6 billion at the end of the quarter. For the twelve months ended September 28, cash flow from operations advanced to $118.3 billion from $110.5 billion in last year’s period, while capital spending fell to $9.4 billion from $11 billion in the year-ago period. Free cash flow of $108.8 billion in the fiscal year easily covered the company’s cash dividends paid of $15.2 billion. Apple bought back $94.9 billion in common stock during the fiscal year. Our fair value estimate stands at $226 per share.
Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios.
Aug 28, 2024
The Difference Between Speculation and Investment
In this edited video transcript, Brian Nelson, President of Investment Research at Valuentum, discusses the difference between speculation and investment.
Aug 26, 2024
Berkshire Hathaway’s Cash Balance Swells, Ownership Stake in Apple Substantially Reduced
Image: Berkshire Hathaway reduced its equity stake in Apple by a sizable margin. Berkshire Hathaway continues to execute well across its business portfolio, free cash flow continues to move in the right direction, while Buffett remains prudent with his portfolio management decisions. Shareholders’ equity at the end of June was $608 billion, implying that shares are trading at a 1.6x book value, not cheap. Still, we like shares as a key holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
Aug 25, 2024
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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.