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Valuentum Commentary
Sep 20, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of September 20
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios. Sep 10, 2024
Oracle Expects Increased Revenue Growth Throughout Fiscal 2025
Image: Oracle’s shares have performed quite well during the past couple years. Oracle remains a key idea in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as well as the ESG Newsletter portfolio, and its fiscal first quarter results support our bullish take on the name. Though Oracle has a rather large net debt position, free cash flow remains robust, while the company capitalizes on its total remaining performance obligations, which advanced 53% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis. We liked the commentary about revenue growth to accelerate throughout fiscal year 2025, and we point to the high end of our fair value estimate range ($178 per share) for shares. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Aug 4, 2024
What to Do During This Market Selloff
In short, nothing. Jul 31, 2024
Microsoft's Cash Flow Generation Robust, Azure Expected to Accelerate
Image Source: Microsoft. Microsoft ended the June quarter with $75.5 billion in total cash and cash equivalents and $51.6 billion in short- and long-term debt on the books, good for a nice net cash position. In the three months ended June 30, cash flow from operations surged to $37.2 billion from $28.8 billion in the same period a year ago, while capital spending totaled $13.9 billion in the June quarter versus $8.9 billion in last year’s quarter. Free cash flow increased 17.7% in the quarter, coming in at $23.3 billion versus $19.8 billion in the same period a year ago. During the quarter, Microsoft returned $8.4 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends and buybacks. Shares yield 0.7% at the time of this writing. Jul 27, 2024
Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating
Image shown: An examination of the problem that might arise by focusing exclusively on companies that have economic moats, or sustainable and durable competitive advantages.Without an economic castle, an economic moat doesn’t matter. Let's examine Valuentum's Economic Castle™ rating. Jun 25, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Jun 12, 2024
Oracle Misses in Q4 But Bookings Performance and Outlook Strong
Image: Oracle’s shares have done quite well since the beginning of 2023, and management’s outlook speaks to continued strength. We liked Oracle’s cash flow performance for fiscal 2024 and outlook for not only fiscal 2025 but also its positive commentary associated with the momentum it has built for fiscal 2026. We continue to like Oracle as an idea for the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and ESG Newsletter portfolio. Shares yield ~1.3% at the time of this writing. Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.
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this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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