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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Aug 15, 2019
Macy’s Cuts Guidance, Dividend Cut Could Be on the Horizon
Image Shown: Macy’s cut adjusted EPS guidance for FY2019, which implies a material drop from its FY2018 performance. Flat revenue guidance, gross margin pressure, and rising SG&A expenses all signal there’s likely more pain yet to come. Image Source: Macy’s – IR Presentation. We are staying far away from Macy’s and most retailers in general, but continue to like Dollar General Corporation as the nimble retailer has posted stellar performance since joining the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio in April 2017.
Aug 13, 2019
Thought Piece: The Hidden Advantage
Image Source: Kamilla Oliveira. As activist investing proliferates, investors are becoming more and more familiar with celebrity investing gurus such as Carl Icahn and David Einhorn. Let’s examine how these investing giants have carved out a unique structural advantage over mom-and-pop investors. This article was originally published in June 2014.
Aug 7, 2019
Tallgrass Energy’s Growth Runway Shorter Than Expected
Image Source: Tallgrass Energy LP -- IR Presentation. We parted with Tallgrass as we see greater opportunities in other midstream firms and different parts of the high-yield universe, such as Enterprise Products Partners, which have stronger growth runways and assets that better cater to the ever-evolving needs of North America’s oil & gas industry. Recent weakness in TGE indicates the market is losing faith in Tallgrass’ growth trajectory and its future free cash flows.
Aug 2, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending August 2
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.
Jul 30, 2019
Apple Breaking Out After Hours!
Apple is a top-weighted idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and is also a mid-weighted idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. We added to Apple in both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio in December 2018, and we added to it yet again in April 2019. We continue to like shares and value them at ~$220 each. We expect a modest upward revision following the report.
Jul 30, 2019
Don't Follow the Social Media Likes: The Divine “Comment(y)”
Image Source: Pilottage. “Personally, it was a miserable experience for me to see things that others couldn’t.” – Nelson on Valuentum’s call preceding Kinder Morgan’s dividend cut.
Jul 30, 2019
Mylan Surges, Why Fair Value Estimates Matter
Image Source: Valuentum's 16-page Report of Mylan. Mylan NV agreed to merge with Pfizer Inc’s Upjohn unit to form a much larger and more diversified entity in the pharmaceutical industry. Shares of Mylan shot up to just under the low end of our fair value estimate range as of this writing.
Jul 25, 2019
Google, Intel -- Yes!
Let's talk Google and Intel, remind you that we've removed Chipotle, Xilinx, and Boeing from the newsletter portfolios some time ago. I'll talk a little about PayPal's run higher and address some other themes, including contingent liabilities with J&J and 3M.
Jul 11, 2019
Valuentum Exclusive Yearly Round Up
"I want finance to learn from the past, the quantitative mistakes of yesteryear that brought the world economy to its knees. The misaligned incentives that created a massive bubble and subsequent housing market crash. The problems of leverage in yet another quant hedge fund Long Term Capital Management that caused panic in the late 1990s. Wall Street is not learning from history, and many are going wildly down the path of destruction. Don’t confuse indexing with a bull market. Pay attention to what you own. Stay diversified, and most of all, do your own due diligence." -- President of Investment Research, Brian Nelson, CFA
Jun 19, 2019
Facebook, Others Enter Crypto
Image: Facebook's new cryptocurrency. Source: Facebook.  We think Facebook’s new cryptocurrency Libra is a game changer. The company remains an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. We're reiterating our fair value estimates for "Founding Members" of the Libra Association at this time.



The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.