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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary

May 19, 2025
3 Undervalued Stocks to Consider Buying Now
All told, we think these three names are ripe for the picking. UnitedHealth Group has clearly plummeted on bad headline news, while the market is not giving Nvidia enough credit for the sustainability of its technology. Alphabet is being weighed down by antitrust issues and the concern that artificial intelligence will permanently alter its business model, which we believe will not happen anytime soon, if at all. All three ideas are included in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we include a diversified portfolio of ideas for members to consider. Happy investing!
May 15, 2025
Cisco Raises Fiscal 2025 Outlook Again
Image: Cisco put up excellent fiscal third quarter results. Looking to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Cisco’s revenue is expected to be between $14.5-$14.7 billion, with non-GAAP earnings per share targeted in the range of $0.96-$0.98. For all of fiscal 2025, revenue is expected to be in the range of $56.5-$56.7 billion (was $56-$56.5 billion) and non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $3.77-$3.79 (was $3.68-$3.74). We continue to like Cisco as a holding in both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $74 per share.
May 6, 2025
Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far
Shortly after Trump's Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500, for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends. A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if a full US/China trade agreement won't be completed in the near term, as full-scale trade deals take time to mold. Thus far, we have been impressed by earnings this season, particularly by the Magnificent 7.
Apr 4, 2025
Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We're Doing
The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in the coming months.
Feb 14, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 14
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.
Feb 13, 2025
Cisco Ups Fiscal 2025 Guidance Again
Image Source: Cisco. Looking to fiscal third quarter guidance, Cisco's revenue is expected to be between $13.9-$14.1 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share to be between $0.90-$0.92. For all of fiscal 2025, management expects revenue in the range of $56-$56.5 billion (was $55.3-$56.3 billion) and non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $3.68-$3.74 (was $3.60-$3.66 per share). We continue to like Cisco as a holding in both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $73 per share.
Nov 15, 2024
Cisco Raises Fiscal 2025 Guidance
Image: Cisco’s shares have been choppy the past couple years. Looking to fiscal 2025, Cisco Systems expects revenue in the range of $55.3-$56.3 billion, up from a prior view of $55-$56.2 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $3.60-$3.66, up from $3.52-$3.58 previously. We like Cisco’s progression to a subscription base business model, its opportunities in artificial intelligence, while its forward price-to-earnings ratio remains attractive at roughly 16x current fiscal year earnings. The high end of our fair value estimate range is $67 per share.
Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios.
Aug 15, 2024
Cisco’s Fiscal Fourth Quarter Results Exceed Expectations
Image Source: Cisco. Cisco ended its fiscal year with $31 billion in short- and long-term debt and $17.9 billion in cash and investments. Free cash flow of $10.2 billion during fiscal 2024 easily covered its cash dividends paid of $6.4 billion. We continue to like Cisco as an idea in the newsletter portfolios. Though it has a net debt position and revenue has been under pressure, it trades at a below-market multiple, pays a nice dividend, and is working aggressively to transform its business model into one that is more recurring in nature. Shares yield 3.5% at the time of this writing.
Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.


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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.