Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary
Sep 17, 2021
Our Two Favorite Midstream MLPs: EPD and MMP
Image Source: Enterprise Products Partners L.P. – August 2021 IR Presentation. The global economy is steadily recovering from the worst of the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic, though variants of the virus remain a concern. Enterprise Products and Magellan Midstream are well-positioned to capitalize on this recovery while continuing to make good on their “generous” payout obligations.
Sep 14, 2021
Chevron Investing in Biofuels and Hydrogen
Image Source: Chevron Corporation – August 2021 IR Presentation. We are huge fans of Chevron’s dividend growth potential in the wake of the recovery seen in raw energy resources pricing year-to-date. Shares of CVX yield ~5.6% as of this writing, and we expect Chevron will steadily grow its payout going forward, aided by its promising free cash flow growth trajectory.
Aug 17, 2021
ExxonMobil Continues to Optimize Its Asset Base
Image Source: ExxonMobil Corporation – Second Quarter of 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. According to Reuters, ExxonMobil Corp is in the process of divesting its Fayetteville shale play position in Arkansas, which ExxonMobil’s spokeswoman Julie King confirmed according to the news outlet. This is an upstream asset focused on the extraction of natural gas from the ground via “fracking” techniques (combing horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing to unlock raw energy resources from the ground).
Aug 7, 2021
Image: Bitcoin, technology and large cap growth have led the pack the past 5 years while pipeline MLPs, crude oil and energy stocks have fallen way behind. Large cap growth > small cap value. Bonds, non-US stocks continue to lag. The Valuentum Weekly is a brand-new weekly market commentary from Valuentum Securities, released each weekend in digital form. The Valuentum Weekly offers members a weekly synopsis of the markets and major events. It will be straight and to-the-point. Our goal is to deliver to you the latest information and insights. We welcome your feedback on how we can make the Valuentum Weekly as useful and as relevant for you as ever!
Aug 6, 2021
ExxonMobil’s Great Earnings Report and Promising Growth Outlook
Image Shown: An overview of ExxonMobil Corporation’s strategy to generate shareholder value going forward. Image Source: ExxonMobil Corporation – Second Quarter of 2021 Earnings IR Presentation. ExxonMobil’s financial performance is on the upswing, and its operational performance has been firing on all cylinders of late. We continue to be big fans of both ExxonMobil’s capital appreciation upside and dividend growth potential. Our fair value estimate for ExxonMobil under our “base” case scenario sits at $83 per share, well above where shares of XOM are trading as of this writing. The company’s Dividend Cushion ratio sits near parity at 0.9, and we rate both ExxonMobil’s Dividend Growth and Dividend Safety ratings as “GOOD” given its impressive cash flow generating potential. Shares of XOM yield a nice ~6.0% as of this writing.
Aug 3, 2021
Chevron Posts a Great Earnings Update, Share Repurchases to Resume
Image Shown: An overview of Chevron Corporation’s performance in the second quarter of 2021. We include shares of Chevron as an idea in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios and continue to be huge fans of the name as the global energy complex continues to recover from the worst of the coronavirus (‘COVID-19 pandemic). Image Source: Chevron Corporation – Second Quarter of 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. The global energy complex continues to recover from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic, and that speaks quite favorably to Chevron’s outlook. Management is committed to improving the company’s balance sheet strength going forward, which we really appreciate. Chevron’s free cash flow performance in the second quarter highlights the incredibly powerful positive effect the recovery is having on its financial performance. Share buybacks, in moderation, represent a good use of capital in our view (based on where shares of CVX are trading at as of this writing). With all of this in mind, we would like to stress that Chevron remains committed to its dividend (the firm moderately boosted its quarterly dividend during the second quarter of 2021 by ~4% sequentially). We continue to like Chevron as an idea in both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.
Jul 13, 2021
Chevron’s Promising Cash Flow Growth Outlook
Image Source: Chevron Corporation – May 2021 IR Presentation. The outlook for the global energy complex is bright and getting brighter as public health authorities utilize widespread coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) vaccine distribution efforts to put an end to the pandemic. We added shares of Chevron Corporation to the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios on June 27 in order to gain exposure to the ongoing recovery in the global energy complex via a high-quality integrated oil major. Shares of CVX yield ~5.1% as of this writing.
Jul 8, 2021
Still Bullish -- Stocks for the Long Run!
Image shown: The 10-year Treasury rate has fallen quite a bit since March of this year, suggesting that inflation expectations have come down in recent months. Image source: CNBC. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq continue to hover near all-time highs, and all appears well. We maintain our bullish take on the markets and believe that we are in the early innings of a long bull market that started following the washout March 2020 during the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown. Stock bull markets tend to average about 4.4 years in duration, with the last one enduring ~11 years, while bear markets are very abrupt, lasting only 11.3 months on average, the last one a very short 1.1 months, according to data from First Trust. We’re about 15 months into this new stock bull market, and we continue to believe increased equity exposure may better serve investors of all types going forward, through both the best of times and the worst of times.
Jul 7, 2021
ExxonMobil’s Immense Upside in Guyana
Image Source: ExxonMobil Corporation – 2021 Investor Day Presentation. ExxonMobil generated $6.9 billion in free cash flow during the first quarter of 2021, up from just $0.3 billion in the same period the prior year when the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic began to slow the global economy to a crawl. Please note that working capital movements and the timing of capital expenditures often have an outsized influence on an energy firm’s quarterly financials, though the trajectory is crystal clear, ExxonMobil is well on its way to recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. ExxonMobil spent $3.8 billion covering its total dividend obligations in the first quarter of 2021 and spent a negligible amount buying back its stock during this period. Both of these activities were fully covered by its free cash flows with room to spare, highlighting the company’s potential dividend growth upside going forward.
Jun 24, 2021
Energy: A Small Part of the S&P 500 But Making a Comeback
Image Source: Bureau of Land Management. The energy sector is now a small part of the S&P 500, but improving energy resource pricing has enhanced the merits of many in the space, namely the dividend growth and income prospects at ExxonMobil and Chevron. Both companies offer investors dividend yields north of 5%, and both have experienced tremendous improvements in free cash flow generation thanks in part to more prudent capital spending. We’ll be looking to add both to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio on any market breather. We like the risk/reward opportunity.
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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.