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Mar 7, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 7
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Mar 3, 2025
Enterprise Products Partners Remains a Key Idea
Image: Enterprise Products Partners units have fared well since the beginning of 2023. Enterprise generated ~$2.4 billion in net cash provided by operating activities in the fourth quarter, while capital investments were ~$2 billion, resulting in non-GAAP free cash flow of $393 million. For 2025, organic growth capital investments are expected in the range of $4-$4.5 billion, while sustaining capital expenditures are expected to be $525 million. At the end of 2024, Enterprise had total debt principal outstanding of $32.2 billion and consolidated liquidity of roughly $4.8 billion. We continue to like Enterprise as an idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio. Dec 27, 2024
Alert: Changes to the Newsletter Portfolios
Image Source: Mike Cohen cc by 2.0. We are making some changes to the newsletter portfolios. We continue to believe that large cap growth and big cap tech is the place to be, and we’ll be further tilting the portfolios in that direction. Dec 11, 2024
Toll Brothers Ends Strongest Year Ever
Image Source: Toll Brothers. Looking to fiscal 2025, Toll Brothers' deliveries are expected in the range of 11,200-11,600 units with an average delivered price per home of $945,000-$965,000 and adjusted home sales gross margin expected at 27.25%. The company’s pace of deliveries is expected to be strong, but the company’s gross margin isn’t as strong as we would like, facing pressure from last year’s adjusted mark. SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenue is expected in the range of 9.4%-9.5%, up from last year’s measure of 9.3%. Toll Brothers ended its fiscal fourth quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $2.7 billion in loans payable and senior notes. The company continues to return cash to shareholders in the form of buybacks and dividends. Though we don’t include Toll Brothers in any newsletter portfolio, the bellwether’s fiscal fourth quarter report indicates the housing market remains healthy. Dec 6, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 6
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Nov 25, 2024
Deere’s Fiscal Fourth Quarter Results Better Than Feared
Image Source: Deere. Looking to fiscal 2025, Deere expects Production & Precision Ag net sales down ~15%, Small Ag & Turf net sales down 10%, and Construction & Forestry net sales down 10%-15%. Net income for its Financial Services segment is targeted at $750 million for the year. Net income attributable to Deere & Company for fiscal 2025 is expected to be in the range of $5-$5.5 billion, down from $7.1 billion in fiscal 2024 and $10.2 billion in fiscal 2023. Deere’s top line continues to face pressure, and its balance sheet isn’t as strong as we would like, but the company is navigating weakness well. Shares yield 1.3%. Oct 29, 2024
Phillips 66’s Dividend Well Covered with Free Cash Flow
Image Source: Phillips 66. In the quarter, Phillips 66 achieved its target of $1.4 billion in business transformation savings, including a $1 per barrel refining cost reduction. The firm is also optimizing its portfolio, with asset dispositions totaling $2.7 billion, approaching its $3 billion target. We like Phillips 66 free cash flow generation of $774 million in the third quarter, which easily outpaced its dividends paid in the quarter. The company has distributed $12.5 billion through share buybacks and dividends since July 2022, and it remains on pace to achieve its target of $13-$15 billion by year end. Our fair value estimate of Phillips 66 stands at $155 per share. Shares yield 3.6% at the time of this writing. Oct 28, 2024
In the News: Newmont, McDonald’s, the Election
Newmont is facing cost pressures, while its gold production is expected to be flattish in 2025. McDonald's has worked fast to put the recent E. coli outbreak behind it. We don't expect the situation to damage McDonald's brand or impact the trajectory of its business in the long run. The U.S. Presidential election is on November 5, and while there are differences between the agendas of former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, we're not making changes to the newsletter portfolios on account of political risk and uncertainty. Sep 26, 2024
An Important Measure of Leverage for Dividend-Growth and Income-Oriented Shareholders, One That Is Dividend-Adjusted
As more and more investors rely on company dividends for income, dividends, in our view, have become more debt-like commitments in nature, especially from the perspective of dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders. Years ago, we rolled out a measure of financial leverage that considers both the company’s debt and the present value of its future expected cash dividend obligations, which, in the eyes of die-hard dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders, may be implicitly assumed to be debt-like commitments in substance. We think this leverage ratio can be used in conjunction with the Dividend Cushion ratio to gain additional insight into the dividend-paying financial health of an entity. Sep 13, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of September 13
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.
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