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Valuentum Commentary
Dec 27, 2019
Nike Is Generously Valued
Image Shown: Shares of Nike Inc have been on an upward tear in 2019; however, we think the market has now gotten ahead of itself. While Nike runs a great business, the firm is unlikely to realize the kind of growth rates required to justify its lofty valuation as of this writing. Should the company underperform for even one quarter, that could lead to a sharp correction in the share price of NKE. Nike is performing well in multiple categories, and the news that the US and China reached a “Phase One” partial trade truce further improves the company’s outlook. That said, Nike’s current market price is based on growth assumptions that are very unlikely to be realized, in our view. Should the company stumble for even one quarter, that could see a sharp correction in the share price of NKE. Nov 1, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 1
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Oct 12, 2019
ICYMI: Interview with Valuentum's President Brian M. Nelson, CFA
Catch up with Valuentum's President Brian M. Nelson, CFA in a recent interview with dividend growth investor Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. Sep 26, 2019
Nike Posts a Solid Quarter and Issues Strong Guidance
Image Shown: Shares of Nike Inc pop on September 25 after reporting a strong first quarter for fiscal 2020 and issuing favorable guidance for the full fiscal year.Nike reported earnings for the first quarter of its fiscal 2020 (ended August 31) on September 24 and investors clearly liked what they saw. The firm has been performing quite well given foreign currency headwinds and the ongoing US-China trade war, and it’s clear that hasn’t undermined core demand for its popular sportswear and equipment products. We are still staying on the sidelines given how shares of NKE are richly valued, in our view. Aug 19, 2019
No Recession At Walmart; Estee Lauder Not Cheap
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Walmart’s results were quite reassuring regarding the health of the economy. There are also pockets of significant strength, with prestige beauty being catapulted by a “selfie generation.” Jul 23, 2019
Roaring 20s? -- Consumer Staples Valuations Stretched
Image Source: Alan Levine. Strong outlooks for Kimberly-Clark, United Technologies, Hexcel and Lockheed Martin point to an economy that is still gaining momentum. We caution investors of consumer staples stocks, however, with many equities holding large net debt positions, and the sector trading at almost 20 times forward earnings. Learn about the difference between the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and the Exclusive publication and much more in this note. May 31, 2019
Mall Retail Armageddon?
We think investors should be extremely cautious if they are interested in any mall retailers. Mall REITs are starting to feel some of the pain, too. May 14, 2019
Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger
Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a "fully invested" position, from a 30% and 20% cash "weighting" at the high end of the range, respectively. May 2, 2019
Mortgage REITs Floundering, More Reports
In alphabetical order by company name: NLY, CAKE, CLX, CVS, EL, PBI, PSA, QCOM, O, SMG. Apr 9, 2019
Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed
Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don't believe Warren Buffett's "style" is out of favor? Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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