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Valuentum Commentary
Jul 29, 2025
Waste Management Grows Adjusted Operating EBITDA Double Digits in Second Quarter
Image Source: TradingView. Through the first six months of the year, Waste Management generated $2.75 billion of net cash provided by operating activities, with free cash flow for the first half of the year coming in at $1.29 billion. Looking to all of 2025, management affirmed its adjusted operating EBITDA guidance midpoint of $7.55 billion, while it raised its free cash flow guidance by $125 million, to the range of $2.8-$2.9 billion. Total company revenue is targeted in the range of $25.275-$25.475 billion for the full year, with an adjusted operating EBITDA margin now expected in the range of 29.6%-29.9%, a modest increase from prior guidance. Waste Management is on track to achieve the upper end of its targeted synergies related to WM Health Solutions of $80-$100 million in 2025. We like Waste Management, but don’t include shares in any newsletter portfolio. May 19, 2025
3 Undervalued Stocks to Consider Buying Now
All told, we think these three names are ripe for the picking. UnitedHealth Group has clearly plummeted on bad headline news, while the market is not giving Nvidia enough credit for the sustainability of its technology. Alphabet is being weighed down by antitrust issues and the concern that artificial intelligence will permanently alter its business model, which we believe will not happen anytime soon, if at all. All three ideas are included in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, where we include a diversified portfolio of ideas for members to consider. Happy investing! May 6, 2025
Magnificent 7 Earnings Reports Not Bad Thus Far
Shortly after Trump's Liberation Day, where the President unveiled lofty tariffs on numerous countries, we released our wait-and-see outlook for the equity markets, which thus far has proven to be the right move, with the markets largely recovering from the depths reached in April. The S&P 500, for example, is down just 3.3% year-to-date, excluding dividends. A lot has happened since Liberation Day, including easing of tariffs to a 10% baseline for most, if not all, countries, with the key exception of China, where tariffs remain extremely elevated and prohibitive. Many countries are now reportedly negotiating trade agreements with the White House, and we expect China to be added to that list soon, even if a full US/China trade agreement won't be completed in the near term, as full-scale trade deals take time to mold. Thus far, we have been impressed by earnings this season, particularly by the Magnificent 7. Apr 4, 2025
Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We're Doing
The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in the coming months. Feb 21, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 21
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Dec 20, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 20
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site. Jun 3, 2024
Waste Management to Acquire Stericycle
Image: Waste Management’s shares have done quite well the past 12-18 months. The oligopolistic nature of the waste business is something that we like a lot, and while Waste Management’s deal for Stericycle will be more complementary in nature bringing in an incremental suite of medical waste and secure information destruction services, we have no qualms with the acquisition. Jun 1, 2024
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