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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 30, 2019
Don't Follow the Social Media Likes: The Divine “Comment(y)”
Image Source: Pilottage. “Personally, it was a miserable experience for me to see things that others couldn’t.” – Nelson on Valuentum’s call preceding Kinder Morgan’s dividend cut.
Jul 30, 2019
Mylan Surges, Why Fair Value Estimates Matter
Image Source: Valuentum's 16-page Report of Mylan. Mylan NV agreed to merge with Pfizer Inc’s Upjohn unit to form a much larger and more diversified entity in the pharmaceutical industry. Shares of Mylan shot up to just under the low end of our fair value estimate range as of this writing.
Jul 25, 2019
Viewing Intrinsic Value as a Range of Outcomes: Tesla’s Margins Come Under Fire in Second Quarter, Shares Sell Off
Image Source: The Valuentum Buying Index almost called the top in Tesla's shares. Tesla shares are under considerable pressure, and we can understand why. Investors are concerned positive free cash flows may be farther away than previously anticipated as Tesla’s margins come under pressure from its transition into the mass-market via the Model 3 offering. We value shares of TSLA at $219 per share at the midpoint of our fair value estimate range and are staying away from the electric automaker as it doesn’t appear the company is firing on all cylinders just yet.
Jul 25, 2019
Best Ideas Holding Visa Posts a Great Quarter, We Continue to Like the Name
Image Source: Visa Corp. Visa does not issue credit cards, so it doesn’t take on any credit risk, and instead makes its money from offering payment processing solutions. The virtuous cycle of increased debit/credit card use worldwide is an integral part to our thesis.
Jul 24, 2019
Coca-Cola’s Valuation Is Stretched
Image Source: Broderick. While the market clearly liked Coca-Cola’s earnings report, we believe investors are getting ahead of themselves. We aren’t interested in shares of KO at these levels, and we caution readers on the stretched valuation of consumer staples companies in general.
Jul 23, 2019
Roaring 20s? -- Consumer Staples Valuations Stretched
Image Source: Alan Levine. Strong outlooks for Kimberly-Clark, United Technologies, Hexcel and Lockheed Martin point to an economy that is still gaining momentum. We caution investors of consumer staples stocks, however, with many equities holding large net debt positions, and the sector trading at almost 20 times forward earnings. Learn about the difference between the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and the Exclusive publication and much more in this note.
Jul 22, 2019
Lowering Our Fair Value Estimate of Morgan Stanley
Image Source: Morgan Stanley 2Q2019 Earnings Presentation. We are lowering our fair value estimate of Morgan Stanley to $45 from $50 to update our view of what mid-cycle results might look like.
Jul 18, 2019
Netflix Misses Net Subscriber Growth Estimates, Shares Plummet
Shares of Netflix were crushed during the trading session July 18 after the video-streaming company posted second-quarter 2019 earnings. The big miss in its net subscriber additions was the main reason why.
Jul 18, 2019
The Market is Getting Ahead of Itself with Pool Corp
Image Source: Pool Corporation – IR Presentation. While Pool Corp is a good company with a solid growth trajectory and strong free cash flows, we think the market’s getting ahead of itself. Its stock trading activity is indicative of lofty investor expectations that may not come to pass.
Jul 15, 2019
Herbalife Sees a Slow Recovery Ahead
Image Source: Herbalife Nutrition Limited - 2018 10-K. Shares of HLF appear fairly valued as things stand today, with most participants looking to see if Herbalife’s rebound has legs or not. We aren’t interested in the name, but we don’t think the sky is falling either. Herbalife has had a wild ride over the past decade, but now that things are settling down, management sees a slow recovery ahead.


The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.