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Valuentum Commentary
Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios. Sep 9, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the site. Aug 28, 2024
The Difference Between Speculation and Investment
In this edited video transcript, Brian Nelson, President of Investment Research at Valuentum, discusses the difference between speculation and investment. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Aug 4, 2024
What to Do During This Market Selloff
In short, nothing. Jul 24, 2024
Tesla’s Second Quarter Report Wasn’t Great
Image: Tesla’s trailing twelve-month performance across vehicle deliveries, operating and free cash flow, as well as adjusted EBITDA have faced pressure in recent quarters. In short, Tesla’s second quarter report wasn’t great and was weighed down by reduced vehicle selling prices, restructuring charges, higher operating expenses due to AI projects, and lower vehicle deliveries, which fell 5% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter. Tesla continues to focus on “reducing COGS per vehicle, growing (its) traditional hardware business and accelerating development of (its) AI-enabled products and services,” and all eyes remain fixated on the timing of its Robotaxi deployment as well as the pace of Cybertruck deliveries. We remain on the sidelines with respect to shares. Jul 6, 2024
Tesla’s Deliveries Bounce Back in Second Quarter
Source: Tesla. On July 2, Tesla released its production and delivery numbers for the second quarter of 2024. Production of Model 3/Y and other models totaled 410,831, while total deliveries came in at 443,956 units, consisting of 422,405 Model 3/Y and the balance coming from other models. The results were better than expected and helped to propel shares of the electric-vehicle maker higher. Tesla’s equity has shot up past the high end of our fair value estimate range, and while we liked the better-than-feared news regarding its deliveries, we continue to be on the sidelines with respect to Tesla’s shares. The next big catalysts for Tesla’s shares are its earnings release on July 23 and its robotaxi event on August 8. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $224, shy of where the company’s equity is trading ($250+). Jun 14, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site. Apr 24, 2024
Lackluster Electric Vehicle Adoption Rates Impacting Tesla
Image Source: Tesla. On April 23, Tesla reported lower-than-expected first-quarter 2024 results as reduced vehicle prices weighed on performance. It should not be surprising to investors if Tesla’s vehicle volume growth rate is much lower in 2024 than it was in 2023. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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