Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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May 16, 2025

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of May 16
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Nov 17, 2023

REITs Will Likely Continue To Underperform
Image: REITs have not performed as well as some may have thought. This article clearly explains that REIT dividends are risky and showcases that REIT investors have missed out on a lot of total return during the past decade or so. One has to go back a long time to see any real return from REITs, and changing working and shopping habits will likely continue to punish the broader REIT sector. We view REITs as a game of financial leverage tied to the vicissitudes of the commercial real estate cycle, all for a dividend yield that approximates that of risk-free assets these days. REITs seem to have a large following these days and many will come to the defense of REITs in their own way, but from a bird's eye view of this market, we remain puzzled by the love affair some have for them. We can only posit that some have a myopic focus on REIT-specific metrics, are not getting the best information when it comes to capital-market dependence risk, and perhaps don't truly understand the structural dynamics of the dividend payment with respect to the free dividends fallacy (i.e. that a REIT's share price is adjusted downward by the amount of the dividend on the ex-dividend date). In our view, the structural dynamics that have hurt REITs for the past decade won't be going away anytime soon, and for investors looking to maximize their returns and the longevity of their retirement savings, there are much better options than REITs.

Aug 31, 2022

Valuentum: Outlook for Europe, China Is Bleak
Video: Valuentum's Associate Director of Research and Co-Portfolio Manager of the simulated newsletter portfolios, Callum Turcan, shares his thoughts about the global economy. Europe is facing considerable pressure from energy prices, while China may face a mortgage meltdown. Join Valuentum for this brief 6 minute video to get up to speed on the goings-on of the global economy and what troubles may be lurking ahead.

Jul 26, 2021

Chinese Stocks Getting Hammered
Image shown: A confluence of factors are driving Chinese stocks lower, not the least of which is heightened regulatory concerns.Investing is really simple. You don’t need to find terribly underfollowed ideas to do well, just mispriced ones. For example, Alphabet is up over 80% the past 52 weeks, and the company has been a top weighting in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio for some time. Facebook has also been an outperformer. There’s no need to make things complicated. Focus on undervalued stocks on a DCF basis that have strong market support through relative strength or a solid technical breakout--and stay away from those net-debt heavy, low valuation multiple value traps!

Jan 17, 2020

Our Reports on Stocks in the Agricultural Equipment Industry
We've optimized our industrials coverage.

Aug 28, 2013

Joy Global: Business Is Bad and Getting Worse; Share Buybacks Are Value Destructive
Joy Global managed expenses well in the third quarter, but further sales deterioration is imminent.

Jul 26, 2013

Caterpillar’s Second Quarter Performance Falls Short
Caterpillar’s second quarter results left much to be desired, and we’re not expecting a turnaround anytime soon.

Jul 26, 2012

Caterpillar Sets Performance Records in Second Quarter; Raises 2012 Profit Outlook
Caterpillar posted strong second quarter results, and the firm raised its 2012 bottom-line outlook despite concerns about the global economy. We think Caterpillar is the most interesting idea in the agricultural equipment space.

Jul 25, 2011

CNH Posts Fantastic Quarter, Outlook for Equipment Strong
CNH Global put up some solid numbers in its second quarter and raised its full-year outlook, noting strength in construction and agricultural equipment demand.