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Valuentum Commentary
Dec 6, 2019
Dollar General Remains in Command
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Dollar General is a holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The company reported strong third-quarter results December 5 that showed better performance than rival Dollar Tree. Discount retail continues to feel the ill-effects of tariffs that are raising cost of goods sold, but Dollar General is taking the headwinds in stride. Sep 13, 2019
Kroger Posts Solid Quarter, Issues Weak Guidance
Image Shown: Kroger Company – IR Presentation. Kroger’s same-store sales growth was a welcome sight as it relates to the current strength of the US consumer, but we are staying away from the retailer for a reason. Its large net debt load puts the company’s payout at risk during adverse economic conditions, and we think management should be battering down the hatches considering how late we are in the business cycle. Management ending Kroger’s incremental operating profit forecast is a troubling sign. Sep 5, 2019
The Valuentum Strategy in Action: Why We Are Letting BIN Holding Dollar General Run Higher
Image Shown: Best Ideas Newsletter holding Dollar General Corporation jumped up after posting great performance during the second quarter of its fiscal 2019 on August 29. The company has trounced the market return since it was added to the Best Ideas Newsletter in April 2017. We are letting this winner run higher.We are letting Dollar General run higher because we think the market is just as optimistic, or maybe even more so, on the company’s prospects than we are, indicating there’s room for further capital appreciation. If Dollar General ever wanted to augment its dividend growth story, the firm could pare back its annual share repurchases to make room for significant per share dividend increases. Aug 21, 2019
Target Stuns, Shares Jump Higher
Image Shown: Shares of Target Corporation (TGT) leapt higher on August 21 on the back of its strong performance during the second quarter of FY2019. In particular, the retailer’s comparable same store sales growth was quite impressive given the hard comparison period, with e-commerce and same-day fulfillment leading the way.Strong performance out of Target and other major US retailers like Walmart indicate that while headwinds are forming, the US economy remains strong for now. We've raised our fair value estimate of Target. Aug 15, 2019
Macy’s Cuts Guidance, Dividend Cut Could Be on the Horizon
Image Shown: Macy’s cut adjusted EPS guidance for FY2019, which implies a material drop from its FY2018 performance. Flat revenue guidance, gross margin pressure, and rising SG&A expenses all signal there’s likely more pain yet to come. Image Source: Macy’s – IR Presentation. We are staying far away from Macy’s and most retailers in general, but continue to like Dollar General Corporation as the nimble retailer has posted stellar performance since joining the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio in April 2017. Jul 29, 2019
Letting Dollar General Run Higher
Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Dollar General has trounced the market by roughly 70 percentage points since it was added to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio in April 2017. Yet another big outperformer. Jun 5, 2019
Dollar General Continues to Lead
Image Source: Dollar General (IR 2016 Presentation). We like Dollar General’s growth trajectory (as it plans to continue expanding its small-box store footprint via new stores) and its impressive same-store sales performance, with 29 consecutive years of growth as of fiscal 2018. Dec 31, 2018
Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29. Dec 20, 2018
Market Mayhem -- Alerts for Members
Dear members -- we released a number of emails today. Please read and let us know if you have any questions. We're here for you. Dec 4, 2018
Dollar General Slips on Lower Bottom-Line Guidance
Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Dollar General continues to deliver consistent top-line performance, but higher than expected expenses in the second half of its fiscal 2018, including hurricane-related expenses and rising transportation costs, resulted in a reduction of operating margin and diluted earnings per share guidance. Net sales growth expectations were also tempered slightly. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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