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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 13, 2018
What Are the Downside Risks of Gilead Sciences?
We think the risk-reward at Gilead remains positively skewed in investors’ favor, but let’s examine the downside case for Gilead Sciences so there are no surprises. It’s always a good approach to evaluate where an investor may go wrong with an investment idea, and assessing upside and downside cases, as in a fair value range, remains par for the course.
Jun 1, 2018
The Free Cash Flow Shortfall in the Master Limited Partnership Space
With the recent acceleration of master limited partnership simplification transactions, we find it appropriate to revisit the internally-generated cash flow shortfall present throughout much of the space. The table provides a breakdown of traditional free cash flow (cash from operating activities less all capital spending) relative to distributions paid, as well as a measure of the elevated financial leverage often found within the group.
May 17, 2018
Master Limited Partnership Simplifications on the Rise
With the announcement of three separate master limited partnership simplification transactions on May 17 alone, we must revisit our thesis that the business structure may not be in it for the long haul.
May 14, 2018
Top 5 Burning Questions on Gilead Sciences
Image Source: Gilead Lab. We felt answers to a few burning questions pertaining to the abysmal first-quarter 2018 earnings release by Gilead Sciences would be of value to our readers. We are not in the least bit impressed by the earnings print, but we feel patience may be well rewarded. The Questions: 1. When will the decline in the Hepatitis C franchise abate? 2. Which new product will drive future revenue growth? 3. Will Cytokine Release Syndrome sink the potential of Yescarta? 4. How durable is Gilead's HIV franchise? 5. What else is in Gilead's pipeline?
May 3, 2018
Gilead Sciences at the Crossroads; HIV and Oncology Franchises Promising
Image Source: Gilead Sciences' first-quarter 2018 results. The loss of a key revenue-generating molecule is a tough, yet oftentimes manageable, portion of a pharma entity’s overall life cycle. Gilead Sciences is in the midst of a key turnaround as the loss of revenue from its Hepatitis C franchise is beginning to abate, while new novel treatments embark on the early stages of their respective revenue cycles. That said, we'd like to see traction in its HIV and oncology franchises, and perhaps the addition of a new franchise to the portfolio, or we will sour on the stock long-term.
May 3, 2018
Growth Continues at Bristol-Myers; Eliquis Fantastic
Image Source: Bristol-Myers. Bristol Myers Squibb continues to put up nice revenue growth as demand for Eliquis is coming in better than expectations. The company’s hopes to win first-line therapy in combination therapy for non-small cell lung cancer with Opdivo have been dealt a severe blow, however. We haven’t liked Bristol-Myers' share-price performance of late and remain on the sidelines. However, we are watching its equity closely for addition to the simulated newsletter portfolios.
Apr 30, 2018
Portfolio Diversification Begins at Alexion; Shares Cheap
Image Source: Alexion. We view the acquisition of differentiated, late-stage molecules at an attractive rate as the optimal use of free cash flow for many in the biotech industry. The finite commercial life of a patented drug forces continued innovation as near-total revenue erosion is a certainty once patent protection has lapsed. Let’s review some of the recent events at Alexion to gain a further understanding of the underlying trends affecting the business.
Apr 23, 2018
Incyte’s Ongoing Disappointments and Ultragenyx’s Exciting Development
Image shown: Ultragenyx's promising pipeline of opportunities. Ultragenyx March 2018 Presentation. The pharma/biotech sector, unlike other mainline industries, is driven by the clinical data readouts on the next-gen molecules in the clinical pipeline. We have witnessed many exaggerated moves with an often-binary outcome on the smaller single molecule entities, but we also have witnessed a negligible impact on the broader, more-diverse industry behemoths. We wanted to touch on a few recent data readouts to illustrate the volatile, risky yet potentially lucrative nature of the industry.
Apr 20, 2018
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending April 20
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.
Mar 15, 2018
Nearly 60 Distribution Cuts Later, We Maintain Our View on the Hazards of the MLP Business Model
Image Source: Brian Cantoni. Valuentum has been highlighting the inherent risks associated with the master limited partnership (MLP) structure for some time now, but we are not alone in acknowledging the limited sustainability of such structures. Internal simplification transactions may only become more common moving forward as management teams seek to optimize the structure of their entities.


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