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Valuentum Commentary
Jul 27, 2019
We Just Can’t Justify Starbucks’ Lofty Valuation, Even After Its Great Quarter
Image Shown: The red dot signifies where shares of SBUX are trading at as of midday trading on July 26. Shares of Starbucks are trading well above the top end of our Fair Value Range. We just can’t see a way to justify its current lofty valuation other than, to quote Alan Greenspan, irrational exuberance. While Starbucks has a promising growth trajectory ahead of it, we see its valuation as stretched after updating our model. The top end of our fair value estimate range stands at $89/share, well below where SBUX is trading at as of this writing. Jun 5, 2019
Cracker Barrel 's Lofty (and Hidden) Dividend Yield
Image Source: Cracker Barrel Presentation (10/17). We continue to like Cracker Barrel as an idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Its special dividends fly under the radar, offering those that are willing to dig a bit deeper in the analysis a nice reward. May 8, 2019
Allergan's Peculiar Non-GAAP Reporting, Wendy's Free Cash Flow, More Reports
In alphabetical order by ticker symbol: AGN, EA, ENR, LYFT MYL, PZZA, S, WEN. Feb 7, 2019
Earnings Roundup: Fast Food and Coffee
Image Source: Phillip Pessar. Let’s take a look at some of the biggest restaurant operators in the fast food and coffee space. Established players continue to refranchise their massive global chains, and innovation in the digital channel may ultimately separate some from the pack. Dec 31, 2018
Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29. Dec 20, 2018
Market Mayhem -- Alerts for Members
Dear members -- we released a number of emails today. Please read and let us know if you have any questions. We're here for you. Nov 8, 2018
Comps Accelerate and Margins Expand in Chipotle’s Third Quarter
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The once beaten down fast casual restaurant chain Chipotle is back to delivering solid comparable restaurant sales growth thanks to menu price increases, and restaurant level operating margin expanded significantly as lower marketing and promotional spending was required to appease cautious consumers. Sep 20, 2018
In The News: 10-Year Treasury Yield, Wage Pressure in Restaurants, Cannabis Volatility
Let’s take a look at some of the hottest topics around the markets. Sep 5, 2018
There Is Milk At The Store
"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." -- Winston Churchill Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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Image Source: Valuentum's 16-page Report of McDonald's. We can’t get anywhere close to McDonald’s share price with our discounted cash-flow valuation process. That doesn’t mean that shares are destined to fall, but it may indicate that the stock has pulled forward future returns. In any case, investors in McDonald’s should be cautious.