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Valuentum Commentary
Oct 22, 2014
"McDonald's facing a 'perfect storm of negatives': Pro" -- CNBC
"Brian Nelson, President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, says the fast food giant's third quarter results were atrocious and outlines what's needed to improve earnings moving forward." -- CNBC Oct 22, 2014
McDonald’s Third Quarter Performance Very Ugly; Even Worse Than Yum! Brands’
McDonald’s is being hit by a perfect storm of negative catalysts, and it may get worse before it gets better. Yum Brands will fall short of achieving previously-announced earnings per share goals. Aug 26, 2014
Price Is Almost Always Different Than Value
This key tenet behind stock market investing success is worth remembering. Apr 21, 2014
Restaurant Industry Update
Let’s take a look at some key developments in the restaurant space. Jan 23, 2014
McDonald’s Operating Income Flat in Fourth Quarter
We didn’t like what we saw in McDonald’s fourth quarter. Though the dividend is not at risk of being cut, the strongest dividend growth days at McDonald’s may be behind it. Dec 9, 2013
McDonald’s US Comparable Sales Fall
Though global comparable sales advanced 0.5% in November, the company’s US system lagged. Oct 10, 2013
Yum! Brands’ Problems Extend Beyond China
Weak US same-store sales growth only makes matters worse at Yum! Brands. Aug 19, 2013
The Big Burger Trade-up
Second quarter results suggest some consumers may be leaving fast-food burger joints for Red Robin. Nov 8, 2012
McDonald’s Falling Prey to Competition
McDonald’s October same-store sales weren’t good, but the results don’t impact our fair value estimate. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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In our view, the outlook for crude oil prices remains quite bullish which in turn should enable Chevron and Exxon Mobil, two of our favorite newsletter portfolio ideas, to churn out “gobs” of free cash flow over the coming quarters. Additionally, both Chevron and Exxon Mobil have substantial exposure to natural gas prices, in part through their enormous LNG export facilities in Australia, which should further support their cash flow generating abilities. We will caution here that a key downside risk the global energy complex faces is potential demand destruction as consumers adjust their lifestyles accordingly to reduce their energy and fuel bills. With that in mind, we have yet to see energy demand falter in a meaningful way, though we are keeping a close eye on the state of the global economy.