Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Nov 26, 2017

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already.

Nov 21, 2017

A “Terrible” Negative Alpha-Generating “Trade” and More
Let’s walk through some of the news before the Thanksgiving holiday, and one of the bigger missteps we made during 2017.

Nov 20, 2017

Valuentum’s “Home Runs” During 2017
Image Source: Keith Allison. We don’t take many swings, but when we do…

Nov 19, 2017

Nelson on Bogle, Part I
Image shown: An example illustrating how the dividend is a component of capital appreciation that otherwise would have been achieved had the dividend not been paid. Such a situation applies to both regular and special dividends. "The kind of commentary that makes broad generalizations about expectations of future returns is exactly why people are so eager to get into passive investment strategies. Since the 1920s, it seems as though the individual investor has assumed the stock market was rigged or impossible for average Joes to figure out, but instead of the "I'll get it next time" mentality that was present leading to the crash of '29, individual investors have "evolved" to the point that now the idea is if you can't beat the market, just buy the whole thing. Leaders like Bogle continue to take tremendous shortcuts in explaining forecasts, leaving the average investor like a student trying to copy math homework off a peer that didn't show his/her work. When the test comes around, and the problem is a bit different, the copier is up a creek." -- The Valuentum Team

Nov 17, 2017

How Have Our Best “Dividend Growth Ideas” Performed During 2017?
We wrote recently about how well the top-weighted ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio have performed during 2017, but what about the top-weighted ideas in the other newsletter portfolio, the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio? How have they performed during 2017? Please tell us you know how well the top-weighted ideas have been performing.

Nov 17, 2017

Celgene Implodes
The pharma/biotech industry operates in a boom-bust environment where the market cap of a company can post a meteoric rise or suffer a precipitous fall based on the data published from recently completed clinical trials. The industry remains one of the most innovative fields, but the quest for new products leads to constant disruption and a subsequent spike in volatility. Of late, the volatility pendulum for Celgene has swung in favor of the bears with the company posting a costly phase 3 failure.

Nov 14, 2017

How Have Our “Best Ideas” Performed During 2017?
The top-weighted ideas are getting the job done, while we avoided one of the biggest missteps in all of 2017. We’ve had better years, but 2017 was still a great one.

Nov 11, 2017

4 Burning Questions About Gilead Sciences
Image Source: Gilead. We were pleased with the jump in shares of Gilead Sciences following its recent addition to the newsletter portfolios. The equity has given back some of those gains more recently as questions have resurfaced on the vitality of the enterprise. In this article, we work through the top 4 questions for readers to consider in evaluating Gilead Sciences.

Oct 25, 2017

Key Oncology Assets Powering Johnson & Johnson Higher
Image Source: Johnson & Johnson. Shares of newsletter portfolio holding Johnson & Johnson continue their stellar run, posting new all-time highs on the heels of an impressive third quarter earnings report. Let’s take an in-depth review of key pharma product franchises as they relate to the performance of the stock.

Sep 30, 2017

Amazon Casts a Large Shadow Over the Pharmacy Industry
Image Source:  Mike Mozart. It is our belief the food retailing industry is in the midst of widespread disruption with Amazon’s attempt to break into the supermarket game with its audacious purchase of Whole Foods. The Whole Foods acquisition is not likely to be an isolated one-off event; instead, it may be a harbinger of Amazon’s ambition to break into new markets, thus expanding its overall percentage of retail sales. We update our views on Amazon and how the company may eventually impact newsletter portfolio holding CVS Health.