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Valuentum Commentary
Jan 2, 2018
2018 Healthcare and Biotech Outlook
Image Source: Global Panorama. 2017 will undoubtedly go down as one of the most fabulous years for the stock market, and while we continue to warn of the dangers associated with the market continuing to trade at lofty valuations, we are intrigued by the outlook for big cap pharma and biotech in the near term. Changes in the US tax laws will likely have a profound impact on the industry. Dec 19, 2017
Video: Quants! You're NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson's Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Dec 11, 2017
Video: Nelson's Active Management Theorem, Poker and "High Society," Inertia and the Value-Growth Conundrum
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson details his simple new theorem of the stock market that may change everything you believe. Nelson explains using poker as an example, and he goes on to caution about the concept of inertia, and how investing has somehow transformed into a "game" -- if investors truly believe there are 'value' and 'growth' stocks. A must-watch intrigue. Running time: ~11 minutes. Dec 2, 2017
Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Robert Shiller On Indexing
Video: Robert Shiller on what worries him about passive investing -- from CNBC. Nov 27, 2017
Strategy Versus Tactics in the Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio
Image Source: Anna & Michal. We made a few tactical tweaks to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio during 2017. Let’s walk through them, and how we’re out to win the war, not win every battle. Sep 8, 2017
The Wisdom of Oaktree's Howard Marks
Image Source: emmolos. The latest memo from Oaktree's Howard Marks here should be read and then read again. The section on passive investing is an absolute treasure. "Passive investing is done in vehicles that make no judgments about the soundness of companies and the fairness of prices. More than $1 billion is flowing daily to “passive managers” (there’s an oxymoron for you) who buy regardless of price. I’ve always viewed index funds as “freeloaders” who make use of the consensus decisions of active investors for free. How comfortable can investors be these days, now that fewer and fewer active decisions are being made?" -- Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital Sep 7, 2017
Adviser Fees on Indexed Assets Can Eat Up Your Nest Egg?
Indexing sounds like an easy way to track the market's performance, but if your indexed assets are held in financial advisors' accounts, it can come with a big cost: significant underperformance. Over 20 years, we estimate in this hypothetical example that the cumulative cost as a result of a 1% annual financial advisor fee on indexed assets can amount to as much as 66% of a saver's initial investment -- just for holding an index fund. Please be careful out there! Aug 9, 2017
ETF Analysis: Banks and Financials
Investors that may not be comfortable dabbling in shares of one individual bank equity may find a low-cost, diversified banking ETF more amenable. Jul 14, 2017
Systemic Risk in These Frothy Times
Image shown: Nelson's Syllogism of the Stock Market. Let’s talk about index investing, market valuations, and mention how a few ideas in the portfolio of the Best Ideas Newsletter are doing. Jul 1, 2017
Malkiel Balks, Yellen Talks
Let’s first address how research in the financial industry is becoming more and more open to combining value and momentum considerations. We’ll also cover a few takeaways from the stress tests and some ‘strong’ talk from Fed Chair Janet Yellen. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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